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Primeira Liga
Referee: Vasco Santos
Chaves
U U S T T
0–0
Full-time
Sp Braga
U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chaves Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 40%
29%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
33%
42%
Both score Ø 52%
50%
54%
Average goals
2,0
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
14 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Chaves 7. · Sp Braga 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 25 19 5 1 +46 62
2 Benfica 24 19 3 2 +39 60
3 Sp Lisbon 24 14 6 4 +18 48
4 Sp Braga 24 12 6 6 +15 42
5 Guimaraes 24 11 7 6 +6 40
6 Maritimo 24 10 7 7 +3 37
7 Chaves 24 7 11 6 +1 32
8 Rio Ave 24 9 5 10 -2 32
9 Belenenses 24 8 8 8 -3 32
10 Boavista 24 7 9 8 -1 30
11 Vitoria Setubal 25 8 6 11 -2 30
12 Feirense 25 8 5 12 -17 29
13 Arouca 25 8 3 14 -16 27
14 Pacos Ferreira 24 6 7 11 -11 25
15 Estoril 24 5 5 14 -14 20
16 Moreirense 24 5 5 14 -15 20
17 Tondela 24 3 7 14 -23 16
18 Nacional 24 3 7 14 -24 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Oct -16 Sp Braga – Chaves 1–0

Match report

Chaves Sp Braga
Nélson Lenho 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 N. Stojiljković
↦ Ricardo Horta
Rafael Batatinha 🔁
↦ Perdigão
66′
74′
🔁 Rodrigo Pinho
↦ F. Cartabia
76′
🟨 Pedro Santos
80′
🟨 Paulinho
Renan Bressan 🟨
90′
Victor Guilherme 🔁
↦ Bruno Braga
91′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Chaves

4-2-3-1
13 Ricardo Nunes G
14 Nuno Coelho D
21 Nelson Lenho D
24 Pedro Queirós D
12 R. Bressan M
25 Bruno Braga M
8 João Patrão M
91 Davidson F
26 Ponck D
9 Rafael Lopes F
10 Perdigão F
Bench (7)
29 Rafael Batatinha
92 Victor Guilherme
1 António Filipe
5 N. Petrović
7 João Mário
18 A. Fall
20 Rodrigo Alves

Coach: Ricardo Soares

Sp Braga

4-2-3-1
28 Marafona G
22 Paulinho D
3 L. Rosić D
16 Djavan Ferreira D
44 Artur Jorge D
35 N.S. Vukčević M
11 F. Cartabia M
14 Rafael Assis M
21 Ricardo Horta M
17 Rui Fonte F
23 Pedro Santos M
Bench (7)
19 N. Stojiljković
13 Rodrigo Pinho
30 Alan
84 Gamboa
87 Marcelo Goiano
92 Matheus
97 Lucas Cunha

Coach: Jorge Simão

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Vasco Santos · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.