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Primeira Liga

Referee: Joao Carlos Santos Capela

Estoril

S T S S T

0–2

Full-time

Moreirense

S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Estoril Moreirense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,3

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

50%

25%

Average goals

3,8

2,0

Scored

1,8

0,3

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

71% Possession 29%

17 Shots 4

6 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Estoril 9. · Moreirense 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	5	5	0	0	+12	15
2	Sp Lisbon	5	5	0	0	+10	15
3	Benfica	5	4	1	0	+9	13
4	Maritimo	5	4	0	1	+3	12
5	Rio Ave	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Feirense	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Guimaraes	5	2	1	2	-6	7
8	Vitoria Setubal	5	1	3	1	+1	6
9	Estoril	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Sp Braga	5	2	0	3	-2	6
11	Tondela	5	1	2	2	+1	5
12	Belenenses	4	1	1	2	-5	4
13	Pacos Ferreira	5	0	3	2	-2	3
14	Boavista	5	1	0	4	-3	3
15	Portimonense	5	1	0	4	-4	3
16	Moreirense	4	0	2	2	-6	2
17	Aves	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Chaves	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Maritimo	3	3	0	0	+3	9
4	Rio Ave	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Guimaraes	3	2	0	1	-3	6
7	Vitoria Setubal	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Belenenses	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Feirense	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Boavista	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Chaves	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Aves	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Porto	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Tondela	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Feirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Benfica	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Sp Braga	3	1	0	2	-2	3
9	Estoril	3	1	0	2	-4	3
10	Aves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	1	2	-2	1
13	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Guimaraes	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Chaves	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Boavista	3	0	0	3	-3	0
17	Portimonense	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Belenenses	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.