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Eredivisie

Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie

Groningen

T T S S T

5–2

Full-time

NAC Breda

U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen NAC Breda

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 12/13 matches

Win Ø 20%

25%

15%

Points per game

0,8

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

42%

69%

Both score Ø 44%

42%

46%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

0,9

1,0

Conceded

1,6

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%

19 Shots 6

9 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 1

3 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Groningen 16. · NAC Breda 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	13	0	1	+40	39
2	Ajax	14	12	1	1	+39	37
3	Feyenoord	13	9	2	2	+11	29
4	Heracles	14	7	2	5	+1	23
5	Utrecht	13	6	4	3	+7	22
6	AZ Alkmaar	14	5	4	5	+2	19
7	VVV Venlo	13	5	4	4	-1	19
8	Heerenveen	14	4	5	5	-4	17
9	Vitesse	12	4	4	4	+1	16
10	For Sittard	14	4	4	6	+0	16
11	Willem II	14	4	4	6	-3	16
12	Excelsior	14	4	4	6	-12	16
13	Den Haag	14	4	3	7	-14	15
14	Zwolle	14	4	2	8	-8	14
15	FC Emmen	14	3	5	6	-13	14
16	Groningen	12	3	1	8	-8	10
17	De Graafschap	14	3	1	10	-21	10
18	NAC Breda	13	2	2	9	-17	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	7	0	0	+26	21
2	Feyenoord	7	7	0	0	+12	21
3	Ajax	7	6	1	0	+22	19
4	Heracles	7	6	0	1	+12	18
5	Utrecht	7	5	1	1	+11	16
6	For Sittard	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	VVV Venlo	6	3	2	1	+5	11
8	AZ Alkmaar	7	2	3	2	+3	9
9	De Graafschap	8	3	0	5	-6	9
10	Excelsior	8	2	3	3	-7	9
11	Vitesse	5	2	2	1	+1	8
12	NAC Breda	7	2	1	4	-4	7
13	Den Haag	6	2	1	3	-6	7
14	FC Emmen	7	1	3	3	-3	6
15	Heerenveen	7	1	3	3	-6	6
16	Willem II	6	1	2	3	+1	5
17	Groningen	6	1	1	4	-3	4
18	Zwolle	7	1	1	5	-4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+17	18
2	PSV Eindhoven	7	6	0	1	+14	18
3	Heerenveen	7	3	2	2	+2	11
4	Willem II	8	3	2	3	-4	11
5	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	1	3	-1	10
6	Zwolle	7	3	1	3	-4	10
7	Vitesse	7	2	2	3	+0	8
8	Feyenoord	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	VVV Venlo	7	2	2	3	-6	8
10	Den Haag	8	2	2	4	-8	8
11	FC Emmen	7	2	2	3	-10	8
12	Excelsior	6	2	1	3	-5	7
13	Utrecht	6	1	3	2	-4	6
14	Groningen	6	2	0	4	-5	6
15	For Sittard	7	1	2	4	-5	5
16	Heracles	7	1	2	4	-11	5
17	NAC Breda	6	0	1	5	-13	1
18	De Graafschap	6	0	1	5	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.