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La Liga
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
Espanol
S S U T T
1–1
Full-time
Barcelona
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
4,0
Scored
1,2
3,5
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+3,0
This season — La Liga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 58%
29%
86%
Points per game
1,1
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 38%
38%
38%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
0,9
2,8
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

26% Possession 74%
7 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 7
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Espanol 15. · Barcelona 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 21 18 3 0 +49 57
2 Ath Madrid 21 13 7 1 +23 46
3 Valencia 21 12 4 5 +17 40
4 Real Madrid 21 11 6 4 +24 39
5 Villarreal 22 11 4 7 +7 37
6 Sevilla 22 10 3 9 -6 33
7 Eibar 22 9 5 8 -3 32
8 Celta 22 9 4 9 +7 31
9 Betis 22 9 3 10 -8 30
10 Getafe 22 7 8 7 +5 29
11 Leganes 21 8 5 8 -1 29
12 Girona 21 7 7 7 +0 28
13 Ath Bilbao 21 6 9 6 +1 27
14 Sociedad 22 7 5 10 +1 26
15 Espanol 21 6 6 9 -10 24
16 Alaves 22 7 1 14 -13 22
17 Levante 22 3 11 8 -12 20
18 La Coruna 22 4 5 13 -27 17
19 Las Palmas 21 4 2 15 -34 14
20 Malaga 21 3 4 14 -20 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Barcelona
29′
🟨 Sergio Busquets
Naldo 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
52′
🟨 Samuel Umtiti
59′
🔁 L. Messi
↦ Paco Alcácer
59′
🔁 Sergi Roberto
↦ Nélson Semedo
Sergio García 🔁
↦ José Jurado
61′
1–0 Gerard Moreno
Sergio García
66′
Marc Navarro 🟨
70′
75′
🔁 Jordi Alba
↦ L. Digne
Javi López 🔁
↦ Marc Navarro
76′
Sergio García 🟨
79′
82′
Piqué 1–1
L. Messi
Gerard Moreno 🟨
84′
Esteban Granero 🟨
85′
86′
🟨 Jordi Alba
C. Sánchez 🔁
↦ Léo Baptistão
86′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Espanol

4-4-2
13 Diego López G
5 Naldo D
3 Aarón Martín D
2 Marc Navarro D
10 José Jurado M
23 Granero M
4 Víctor Sánchez M
15 David López D
25 Sergi Darder M
7 Gerard Moreno F
11 Léo Baptistão F
Bench (7)
9 Sergio García
16 Javi López
8 C. Sánchez
1 Pau López
6 Ó. Duarte
14 Óscar Melendo
22 Mario Hermoso

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
3 Piqué D
19 L. Digne D
23 S. Umtiti D
2 Nélson Semedo D
8 Iniesta M
15 Paulinho M
5 Sergio Busquets M
14 Philippe Coutinho M
9 L. Suárez F
17 Paco Alcácer F
Bench (7)
10 L. Messi
20 Sergi Roberto
18 Jordi Alba
4 I. Rakitić
6 Denis Suárez
13 J. Cillessen
24 Y. Mina

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jesus Gil Manzano · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.