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Eredivisie
Referee: Ed Peter Janssen
2–2
Full-time
Roda
S U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Roda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
1,0
Scored
1,7
0,5
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 20%
31%
8%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
54%
23%
Both score Ø 47%
62%
31%
Average goals
2,9
1,8
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
16 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 8
5 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 9. · Roda 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 13 10 2 1 +24 32
2 Ajax 13 9 3 1 +20 30
3 PSV Eindhoven 14 8 5 1 +16 29
4 Heerenveen 12 6 4 2 +11 22
5 Twente 14 5 5 4 +3 20
6 AZ Alkmaar 11 4 6 1 +6 18
7 Vitesse 14 4 5 5 +1 17
8 Utrecht 11 4 4 3 +1 16
9 Sparta Rotterdam 13 4 4 5 +0 16
10 Heracles 13 3 6 4 -3 15
11 Nijmegen 14 3 6 5 -11 15
12 Excelsior 14 4 2 8 -8 14
13 Willem II 14 3 5 6 -8 14
14 Den Haag 14 4 2 8 -9 14
15 Groningen 13 3 4 6 -4 13
16 Zwolle 14 3 4 7 -16 13
17 Go Ahead Eagles 14 3 2 9 -12 11
18 Roda 13 1 7 5 -11 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Roda
Half-time 0–0
P. van Moorsel 🔁
↦ B. Vriends
46′
47′
C. Kum 0–1
M. Rosheuvel
50′
N. Mytides 0–2
A. Ajagun
55′
🟨 Martin Milec
60′
🟨 Daryl Werker
M. Pogba 🔁
↦ Z. El Azzouzi
63′
L. Brogno 🔁
↦ T. Verhaar
63′
1–2 L. Brogno
S. Spierings
64′
65′
🟨 Marcos Gullon
69′
🔁 F. Noor
↦ N. Mytides
2–2 K. Dougall
L. Brogno
81′
84′
🔁 M. Paulissen
↦ A. Ajagun
84′
🔁 C. Djim
↦ D. Boysen
86′
🟨 Adil Auassar
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-2-3-1
1 R. Kortsmit G
5 M. Breuer D
6 B. Vriends D
8 M. Dijkstra M
2 S. Floranus D
3 R. van Drongelen D
4 K. Dougall M
10 S. Spierings F
11 C. Goodwin M
7 T. Verhaar F
9 Z. El Azzouzi F
Bench (9)
13 P. van Moorsel
16 M. Pogba
15 L. Brogno
14 Iván Calero
20 M. Verrips
18 C. Chevreuil
30 R. Kieboom
17 F. Stokkers
12 R. Ketting

Coach: A. Pastoor

Roda

4-5-1
1 B. van Leer G
3 C. Kum D
5 A. van Peppen D
2 M. Milec D
20 D. Werker D
8 A. Auassar D
16 Marcos Gullón M
14 A. Ajagun M
21 D. Boysen F
17 M. Rosheuvel M
11 N. Mytides F
Bench (8)
24 F. Noor
19 M. Paulissen
32 C. Djim
6 N. Rutjes
22 Y. De Winter
26 N. Wolters
29 T. Blättler
31 D. Stassar

Coach: Y. Anastasiou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ed Peter Janssen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.