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Eredivisie
Referee: Bas Nijhuis
Feyenoord
S S S S S
2–1
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
2,0
4,2
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
0,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,8
This season — Eredivisie · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 74%
83%
65%
Points per game
2,6
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
52%
43%
Both score Ø 42%
35%
48%
Average goals
3,1
2,5
Scored
2,6
1,9
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
18 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 1. · PSV Eindhoven 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 23 19 3 1 +47 60
2 Ajax 23 17 4 2 +33 55
3 PSV Eindhoven 23 15 7 1 +28 52
4 Vitesse 24 10 6 8 +6 36
5 Utrecht 21 10 6 5 +6 36
6 Heerenveen 22 10 5 7 +14 35
7 Twente 24 9 8 7 +2 35
8 AZ Alkmaar 21 8 9 4 +7 33
9 Willem II 24 7 8 9 -6 29
10 Heracles 23 7 7 9 -3 28
11 Nijmegen 24 6 7 11 -17 25
12 Groningen 23 5 9 9 -4 24
13 Zwolle 23 6 5 12 -22 23
14 Sparta Rotterdam 24 5 7 12 -11 22
15 Roda 24 3 11 10 -17 20
16 Go Ahead Eagles 24 5 4 15 -18 19
17 Excelsior 24 4 7 13 -21 19
18 Den Haag 24 5 3 16 -24 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord PSV Eindhoven
1–0 J. Toornstra
T. Kongolo
9′
36′
🔁 S. Bergwijn
↦ M. van Ginkel
45′
🟨 Luuk de Jong
Half-time 1–0
B. Basaçikoglu 🔁
↦ E. Elia
59′
62′
G. Pereiro 1–1
D. Pröpper
72′
🔁 S. de Jong
↦ B. Ramselaar
B. Nieuwkoop 🔁
↦ R. Karsdorp
80′
2–1 J. van der Heijden
N. Jørgensen
82′
83′
🟨 Héctor Moreno
84′
🔁 J. Locadia
↦ A. Guardado
M. Nelom 🔁
↦ S. Berghuis
86′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
25 B. Jones G
6 J. van der Heijden D
33 Eric Botteghin D
4 T. Kongolo D
2 R. Karsdorp D
8 K. El Ahmadi M
28 J. Toornstra M
10 T. Vilhena M
11 E. Elia M
9 N. Jørgensen F
19 S. Berghuis F
Bench (12)
14 B. Basaçikoglu
26 B. Nieuwkoop
18 M. Nelom
1 K. Vermeer
5 M. Vejinovic
7 D. Kuijt
15 L. Woudenberg
20 R. Tapia
27 Simon Gustafson
29 M. Kramer
30 P. Hansson
31 W. Dammers

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
3 H. Moreno D
4 S. Arias D
2 N. Isimat-Mirin D
15 J. Willems M
18 A. Guardado M
6 D. Pröpper M
28 M. van Ginkel M
23 B. Ramselaar M
9 L. de Jong F
7 G. Pereiro M
Bench (11)
27 S. Bergwijn
10 S. de Jong
19 J. Locadia
5 D. Schwaab
8 J. Hendrix
20 J. Brenet
21 L. Koopmans
22 R. Pasveer
25 O. Zinchenko
29 M. Koch
43 P. Rosario

Coach: P. Cocu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bas Nijhuis · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.