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Eredivisie

Referee: Siemen Mulder

Willem II

U T U T T

3–1

Full-time

Utrecht

T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 20%

40%

Points per game

0,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

20%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

20%

80%

Average goals

1,4

2,8

Scored

0,2

1,6

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,4

This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 20%

40%

Points per game

0,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

20%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

20%

80%

Average goals

1,4

2,8

Scored

0,2

1,6

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

10 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 3

7 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Willem II 16. · Utrecht 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heracles	6	5	0	1	+10	15
2	Zwolle	6	4	2	0	+8	14
3	Ajax	5	4	1	0	+12	13
4	Feyenoord	5	4	0	1	+4	12
5	PSV Eindhoven	6	3	2	1	+9	11
6	Roda	5	3	1	1	+1	10
7	Nijmegen	6	3	1	2	-1	10
8	Utrecht	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Vitesse	5	2	1	2	+3	7
10	Groningen	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Heerenveen	6	1	3	2	-2	6
12	AZ Alkmaar	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Den Haag	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Excelsior	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Twente	6	0	3	3	-6	3
16	Willem II	5	0	2	3	-5	2
17	Cambuur	6	0	2	4	-16	2
18	De Graafschap	5	0	0	5	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zwolle	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Heracles	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Groningen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Utrecht	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Roda	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+7	6
8	Vitesse	2	2	0	0	+6	6
9	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Nijmegen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Heerenveen	3	1	2	0	+2	5
12	Excelsior	2	1	1	0	+3	4
13	Den Haag	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Willem II	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Twente	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	AZ Alkmaar	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Cambuur	4	0	1	3	-13	1
18	De Graafschap	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Heracles	3	2	0	1	+4	6
3	PSV Eindhoven	4	1	2	1	+5	5
4	Zwolle	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-2	4
7	Feyenoord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	-2	3
9	Roda	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Twente	4	0	2	2	-3	2
11	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Cambuur	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Vitesse	3	0	1	2	-3	1
14	Heerenveen	3	0	1	2	-4	1
15	Willem II	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	De Graafschap	3	0	0	3	-6	0
18	Excelsior	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.