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Eredivisie
Referee: Dennis Higler
Utrecht
S T S S S
2–1
Full-time
Heerenveen
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
0,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,7
This season — Eredivisie · 31/33 matches
Win Ø 46%
55%
36%
Points per game
1,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
48%
73%
Both score Ø 58%
52%
64%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 61%
16 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 1
3 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 4. · Heerenveen 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 34 26 4 4 +61 82
2 Ajax 34 25 6 3 +56 81
3 PSV Eindhoven 34 22 10 2 +45 76
4 Utrecht 31 17 7 7 +17 58
5 Vitesse 34 15 6 13 +11 51
6 AZ Alkmaar 31 12 12 7 +9 48
7 Twente 34 12 9 13 -2 45
8 Heracles 34 12 7 15 -2 43
9 Heerenveen 33 12 6 15 +0 42
10 Groningen 33 9 12 12 -1 39
11 Den Haag 34 11 5 18 -22 38
12 Excelsior 34 9 10 15 -17 37
13 Willem II 34 9 9 16 -15 36
14 Zwolle 34 9 8 17 -28 35
15 Sparta Rotterdam 34 9 7 18 -19 34
16 Nijmegen 34 9 7 18 -27 34
17 Roda 34 7 12 15 -25 33
18 Go Ahead Eagles 34 6 5 23 -41 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utrecht Heerenveen
1–0 R. Leeuwin
Y. Ayoub
30′
2–0 R. Zivkovic
38′
45′
🔁 Y. Kobayashi
↦ P. van Amersfoort
Half-time 2–0
Willem Janssen 🟨
60′
61′
R. Ghoochannejhad 2–1
N. Barazite 🔁
↦ S. Haller
71′
G. Troupée 🔁
↦ S. Klaiber
71′
75′
🔁 L. Slagveer
↦ D. Schmidt
79′
🔁 A. Zeneli
↦ S. Larsson
E. Braafheid 🔁
↦ J. Hardeveld
82′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-3-1-2
16 D. Jensen G
3 R. Leeuwin D
17 S. Klaiber D
12 J. Hardeveld D
23 W. Brama M
8 W. Janssen D
19 Z. Labyad F
6 Y. Ayoub M
25 S. Amrabat M
22 S. Haller F
9 R. Zivkovic F
Bench (9)
10 N. Barazite
20 G. Troupée
28 E. Braafheid
1 R. Ruiter
2 M. van der Maarel
11 A. Ludwig
15 Robin van der Meer
26 D. Rosheuvel
27 G. Kerk

Coach: E. ten Hag

Heerenveen

4-3-3
1 E. Mulder G
2 S. Marzo D
5 L. Bijker D
12 D. Schmidt D
39 K. Pierie D
6 S. Schaars M
8 M. Thorsby M
17 M. Ødegaard F
9 R. Ghoochannejhad F
11 S. Larsson F
19 P. van Amersfoort M
Bench (10)
21 Y. Kobayashi
7 L. Slagveer
13 A. Zeneli
28 D. Johnsen
18 Y. Namli
20 H. Veerman
22 W. Faes
25 W. Huizing
31 J. Bekkema
33 W. van der Steen

Coach: J. Streppel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dennis Higler · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.