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Eredivisie

Referee: Bas Nijhuis

Utrecht

U S U U S

2–0

Full-time

Heracles

U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 13/15 matches

Win Ø 33%

38%

27%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

46%

47%

Both score Ø 71%

69%

73%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,6

1,2

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%

20 Shots 5

8 Shots on target 1

7 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

8 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Utrecht 8. · Heracles 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	15	11	3	1	+29	36
2	Ajax	15	11	3	1	+23	36
3	PSV Eindhoven	16	9	6	1	+17	33
4	Heerenveen	15	8	4	3	+13	28
5	Vitesse	16	6	5	5	+4	23
6	AZ Alkmaar	13	5	7	1	+10	22
7	Twente	15	5	6	4	+3	21
8	Utrecht	13	5	5	3	+3	20
9	Heracles	15	4	6	5	-5	18
10	Nijmegen	16	4	6	6	-10	18
11	Sparta Rotterdam	16	4	5	7	-6	17
12	Groningen	15	4	4	7	-4	16
13	Willem II	16	3	7	6	-8	16
14	Excelsior	16	4	3	9	-9	15
15	Den Haag	16	4	2	10	-14	14
16	Zwolle	16	3	5	8	-18	14
17	Roda	16	1	9	6	-13	12
18	Go Ahead Eagles	16	3	2	11	-15	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	8	6	2	0	+20	20
2	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+13	19
3	PSV Eindhoven	8	4	3	1	+4	15
4	Heerenveen	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	4	0	+8	13
6	Nijmegen	9	3	4	2	+0	13
7	Twente	7	3	3	1	+5	12
8	Sparta Rotterdam	8	3	3	2	+2	12
9	Heracles	7	3	2	2	+2	11
10	Utrecht	7	3	2	2	+1	11
11	Vitesse	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Excelsior	8	3	1	4	-1	10
13	Go Ahead Eagles	8	3	1	4	-2	10
14	Zwolle	9	2	3	4	-10	9
15	Groningen	7	2	2	3	-6	8
16	Den Haag	7	2	1	4	-4	7
17	Willem II	8	1	4	3	-5	7
18	Roda	7	0	4	3	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	8	5	3	0	+13	18
2	Ajax	7	5	2	0	+10	17
3	Feyenoord	7	5	1	1	+9	16
4	Heerenveen	8	4	2	2	+8	14
5	Vitesse	8	3	3	2	+3	12
6	Utrecht	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	AZ Alkmaar	6	2	3	1	+2	9
8	Twente	8	2	3	3	-2	9
9	Willem II	8	2	3	3	-3	9
10	Groningen	8	2	2	4	+2	8
11	Roda	9	1	5	3	-8	8
12	Heracles	8	1	4	3	-7	7
13	Den Haag	9	2	1	6	-10	7
14	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	2	5	-8	5
15	Excelsior	8	1	2	5	-8	5
16	Zwolle	7	1	2	4	-8	5
17	Nijmegen	7	1	2	4	-10	5
18	Go Ahead Eagles	8	0	1	7	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.