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Eredivisie
Referee: Bas Nijhuis
Feyenoord
T U S S S
3–1
Full-time
De Graafschap
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord De Graafschap
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 34%
52%
15%
Points per game
1,7
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
56%
67%
Both score Ø 61%
63%
59%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,9
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%
24 Shots 5
9 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 3. · De Graafschap 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 27 20 6 1 +43 66
2 Ajax 27 20 5 2 +48 65
3 Feyenoord 27 14 4 9 +14 46
4 AZ Alkmaar 27 14 4 9 +11 46
5 Heracles 26 12 5 9 -2 41
6 Vitesse 27 11 7 9 +19 40
7 Nijmegen 27 11 7 9 +0 40
8 Zwolle 25 11 5 9 +6 38
9 Utrecht 25 10 6 9 +5 36
10 Den Haag 27 8 10 9 -2 34
11 Groningen 26 9 7 10 -9 34
12 Twente 27 10 4 13 -13 34
13 Heerenveen 28 9 7 12 -15 34
14 Roda 27 6 10 11 -15 28
15 Willem II 27 5 10 12 -10 25
16 Excelsior 28 6 7 15 -21 25
17 De Graafschap 27 4 5 18 -22 17
18 Cambuur 27 3 7 17 -37 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord De Graafschap
26′
R. Pröpper 0–1
B. Straalman
Half-time 0–1
B. Basaçikoglu 🔁
↦ Simon Gustafson
46′
46′
🔁 T. Bouma
↦ B. Straalman
1–1 M. Kramer
M. Nelom
55′
67′
🔁 N. Kabasele
↦ A. Driver
72′
🔁 D. Koolhof
↦ Y. El Jebli
2–1 E. Elia
B. Basaçikoglu
76′
2–2 T. Bouma
own goal
82′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Feyenoord

1 K. Vermeer G
33 Eric Botteghin D
18 M. Nelom D
3 S. van Beek D
2 R. Karsdorp D
8 K. El Ahmadi M
28 J. Toornstra M
21 T. Vilhena M
27 Simon Gustafson M
11 E. Elia M
31 M. Kramer F
Bench (7)
14 B. Basaçikoglu
5 M. Vejinovic
6 J. van der Heijden
20 R. Tapia
23 P. Hansson
26 B. Nieuwkoop
29 A. Achahbar

De Graafschap

1 H. Jurjus G
5 J. Tesselaar
4 T. van de Pavert D
3 R. Pröpper D
12 B. Straalman D
15 A. Driver M
8 K. Tarfi M
42 M. Diemers M
20 Y. El Jebli M
13 C. Peters F
9 V. Vermeij F
Bench (7)
2 T. Bouma
17 N. Kabasele
10 D. Koolhof
23 K. Vida
25 T. Cicek
41 E. Verstappen
43 P. Parzyszek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bas Nijhuis · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.