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Ligue 1

Referee: Benoît Millot

St Etienne

S U U S U

3–1

Full-time

Lille

S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%

9 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match St Etienne 11. · Lille 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	7	5	1	1	+6	16
2	Nice	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	Toulouse	7	4	2	1	+6	14
4	Paris SG	7	4	1	2	+9	13
5	Bordeaux	7	4	1	2	+3	13
6	Metz	7	4	1	2	+1	13
7	Guingamp	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Lyon	7	3	1	3	+4	10
9	Bastia	7	3	1	3	+1	10
10	Rennes	7	3	1	3	-2	10
11	St Etienne	6	2	3	1	+2	9
12	Angers	7	3	0	4	-1	9
13	Dijon	7	2	1	4	-2	7
14	Caen	7	2	1	4	-8	7
15	Montpellier	7	1	3	3	-6	6
16	Lorient	7	2	0	5	-7	6
17	Marseille	6	1	2	3	-1	5
18	Nantes	6	1	2	3	-4	5
19	Nancy	6	1	2	3	-5	5
20	Lille	6	1	1	4	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Nice	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Toulouse	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Rennes	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	Paris SG	3	2	1	0	+6	7
6	Dijon	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	St Etienne	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	Guingamp	3	2	1	0	+2	7
9	Bordeaux	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Bastia	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Lyon	3	2	0	1	+4	6
12	Angers	3	2	0	1	+2	6
13	Metz	3	2	0	1	+0	6
14	Caen	3	2	0	1	-3	6
15	Lorient	4	2	0	2	-3	6
16	Marseille	3	1	2	0	+2	5
17	Montpellier	4	1	2	1	+0	5
18	Lille	3	1	0	2	-3	3
19	Nantes	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Nancy	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Metz	4	2	1	1	+1	7
2	Paris SG	4	2	0	2	+3	6
3	Bordeaux	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Monaco	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Toulouse	4	1	2	1	+0	5
6	Nice	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Guingamp	4	1	1	2	+0	4
8	Lyon	4	1	1	2	+0	4
9	Nantes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Nancy	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Bastia	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Angers	4	1	0	3	-3	3
13	St Etienne	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Lille	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Caen	4	0	1	3	-5	1
16	Montpellier	3	0	1	2	-6	1
17	Rennes	4	0	1	3	-7	1
18	Marseille	3	0	0	3	-3	0
19	Lorient	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Dijon	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.