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Ligue 1

Referee: Nicolas Rainville

Toulouse

U T T T T

4–0

Full-time

Angers

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Angers

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

0,7

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 30%

32%

27%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

45%

36%

Both score Ø 48%

45%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,1

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%

15 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Toulouse 10. · Angers 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	23	16	4	3	+46	52
2	Paris SG	23	15	4	4	+28	49
3	Nice	23	14	7	2	+20	49
4	Lyon	21	12	1	8	+15	37
5	St Etienne	22	8	9	5	+6	33
6	Marseille	23	9	6	8	+1	33
7	Bordeaux	23	8	9	6	-3	33
8	Guingamp	23	8	7	8	+1	31
9	Rennes	23	8	7	8	-4	31
10	Toulouse	22	7	5	10	-4	26
11	Lille	23	7	5	11	-7	26
12	Montpellier	23	6	8	9	-8	26
13	Nantes	22	7	5	10	-14	26
14	Metz	22	7	5	10	-16	26
15	Caen	22	7	4	11	-11	25
16	Dijon	23	5	9	9	-4	24
17	Nancy	21	6	6	9	-9	24
18	Angers	22	6	5	11	-9	23
19	Bastia	23	5	7	11	-8	22
20	Lorient	23	6	3	14	-20	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	12	10	1	1	+31	31
2	Nice	12	9	3	0	+18	30
3	Paris SG	11	7	4	0	+21	25
4	Marseille	11	7	3	1	+11	24
5	Rennes	12	7	3	2	+8	24
6	Montpellier	11	6	4	1	+11	22
7	Lyon	11	7	0	4	+8	21
8	Guingamp	11	6	3	2	+5	21
9	St Etienne	11	5	5	1	+6	20
10	Caen	10	6	2	2	+1	20
11	Toulouse	11	6	1	4	+4	19
12	Bordeaux	12	5	4	3	-1	19
13	Dijon	12	4	5	3	+4	17
14	Lille	12	5	2	5	-1	17
15	Angers	11	4	4	3	+1	16
16	Nancy	11	5	1	5	+1	16
17	Lorient	11	5	1	5	-4	16
18	Bastia	12	3	6	3	+1	15
19	Metz	10	4	3	3	-6	15
20	Nantes	11	3	3	5	-10	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	8	0	4	+7	24
2	Monaco	11	6	3	2	+15	21
3	Nice	11	5	4	2	+2	19
4	Lyon	10	5	1	4	+7	16
5	Bordeaux	11	3	5	3	-2	14
6	Nantes	11	4	2	5	-4	14
7	St Etienne	11	3	4	4	+0	13
8	Metz	12	3	2	7	-10	11
9	Guingamp	12	2	4	6	-4	10
10	Lille	11	2	3	6	-6	9
11	Marseille	12	2	3	7	-10	9
12	Nancy	10	1	5	4	-10	8
13	Dijon	11	1	4	6	-8	7
14	Toulouse	11	1	4	6	-8	7
15	Bastia	11	2	1	8	-9	7
16	Angers	11	2	1	8	-10	7
17	Rennes	11	1	4	6	-12	7
18	Caen	12	1	2	9	-12	5
19	Lorient	12	1	2	9	-16	5
20	Montpellier	12	0	4	8	-19	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.