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Ligue 1
Referee: Benoît Bastien
Lorient
U S T U U
0–2
Full-time
Monaco
U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 35%
30%
40%
Points per game
1,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
55%
45%
Both score Ø 65%
70%
60%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
7 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lorient 11. · Monaco 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 21 18 3 0 +42 57
2 Angers 21 9 7 5 +7 34
3 Nice 21 9 6 6 +10 33
4 Monaco 20 8 9 3 +2 33
5 Rennes 21 7 10 4 +6 31
6 Caen 20 9 3 8 -3 30
7 Lyon 20 8 5 7 +3 29
8 St Etienne 20 9 2 9 -1 29
9 Bordeaux 21 7 8 6 -3 29
10 Nantes 21 7 7 7 -2 28
11 Lorient 20 6 9 5 +1 27
12 Marseille 20 6 8 6 +7 26
13 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 21 6 8 7 -2 26
14 Lille 21 5 10 6 +1 25
15 Bastia 21 7 4 10 -5 25
16 Montpellier 21 6 4 11 -5 22
17 Reims 21 5 7 9 -7 22
18 Guingamp 21 5 6 10 -10 21
19 Toulouse 21 4 8 9 -11 20
20 Troyes 21 0 8 13 -30 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Sep -15 Monaco – Lorient 2–3

Match report

Lorient Monaco
28′
🔁 Bernardo Silva
↦ N. Dirar
Didier N'Dong 🟨
29′
Yann Jouffre 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
53′
T. Lemar 0–1
João Moutinho
57′
João Moutinho 0–2
M. Fofana 🔁
↦ R. Philippoteaux
60′
65′
🟨 Fábio Coentrão
V. Lavigne 🔁
↦ W. Mesloub
67′
69′
🔁 M. Pašalić
↦ J. Toulalan
76′
🔁 Hélder Costa
↦ T. Lemar
M. Barthelmé 🔁
↦ Y. Jouffre
78′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Lorient

40 B. Lecomte G
2 L. Koné D
6 F. Bellugou M
25 L. Gassama D
5 Z. Touré D
14 Raphaël Guerreiro D
8 Y. Jouffre M
17 W. Mesloub M
19 R. Philippoteaux M
7 D. Ndong M
22 B. Jeannot F
Bench (7)
23 M. Fofana
31 V. Lavigne
28 M. Barthelmé
4 V. Le Goff
13 R. Abdullah
30 F. Chaigneau
18 H. Karamoko

Monaco

1 D. Subašić G
24 A. Raggi D
4 Fábio Coentrão D
2 Fabinho M
13 Wallace D
28 J. Toulalan D
7 N. Dirar M
8 João Moutinho M
14 T. Bakayoko M
27 T. Lemar M
11 G. Carrillo F
Bench (7)
10 Bernardo Silva
20 M. Pašalić
18 Hélder Costa
16 P. Nardi
34 M. Chaïbi
33 K. Mbappe Lottin
12 F. Bahlouli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Benoît Bastien · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.