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Ligue 1

Referee: Bartolomeu Varela Teles

St Etienne

U T T T S

0–0

Full-time

Toulouse

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,5

2,5

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%

16 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Etienne 14. · Toulouse 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Guingamp	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Nice	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Lyon	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Caen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Metz	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Bordeaux	3	2	0	1	-1	6
8	Toulouse	2	1	1	0	+3	4
9	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Marseille	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Rennes	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Lille	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Montpellier	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	St Etienne	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Dijon	3	1	0	2	+0	3
16	Bastia	3	1	0	2	+0	3
17	Nantes	3	1	0	2	-1	3
18	Angers	3	0	0	3	-4	0
19	Lorient	3	0	0	3	-6	0
20	Nancy	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Metz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Caen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Bordeaux	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Montpellier	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Nice	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Dijon	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Lille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Nancy	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Lyon	2	1	0	1	+1	3
3	Bastia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
4	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Nantes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Lille	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Caen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Lorient	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Angers	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Metz	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.