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Ligue 1

Referee: Jerome Miguelgorry

Nice

T U

2–1

Full-time

Caen

S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,5

1,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

2,5

0,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,5

1,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

2,5

0,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%

7 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nice 13. · Caen 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Reims	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Caen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Rennes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Angers	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Bastia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Lyon	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Toulouse	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Troyes	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Lorient	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Nice	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Bordeaux	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	St Etienne	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Lille	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Marseille	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Guingamp	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Montpellier	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Caen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Reims	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Troyes	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Lyon	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Lille	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Guingamp	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Montpellier	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Reims	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Caen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Rennes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Bastia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Guingamp	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Toulouse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.