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Serie A

Referee: Gianluca Manganiello

Milan

S U T S S

2–0

Full-time

Frosinone

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Frosinone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

This season — Serie A · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 31%

47%

14%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

44%

53%

Both score Ø 46%

56%

36%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,4

0,8

Conceded

0,9

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

15 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Milan 6. · Frosinone 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	36	28	5	3	+42	89
2	Napoli	36	23	7	6	+36	76
3	Inter	36	19	9	8	+26	66
4	Atalanta	36	19	8	9	+29	65
5	Roma	37	17	12	8	+17	63
6	Milan	36	17	11	8	+16	62
7	Torino	37	15	15	7	+13	60
8	Lazio	36	17	7	12	+12	58
9	Sampdoria	37	14	8	15	+7	50
10	Sassuolo	37	9	16	12	-5	43
11	Spal	37	11	9	17	-11	42
12	Cagliari	37	10	11	16	-17	41
13	Parma	37	10	11	16	-19	41
14	Fiorentina	37	8	16	13	+2	40
15	Bologna	36	10	10	16	-9	40
16	Udinese	37	10	10	17	-15	40
17	Empoli	37	10	8	19	-18	38
18	Genoa	37	8	13	16	-18	37
19	Frosinone	36	5	9	22	-38	24
20	Chievo	37	2	13	22	-50	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	18	15	3	0	+26	48
2	Napoli	18	12	4	2	+22	40
3	Roma	18	11	5	2	+16	38
4	Milan	18	11	4	3	+12	37
5	Inter	18	10	5	3	+16	35
6	Torino	18	11	2	5	+11	35
7	Atalanta	18	9	5	4	+15	32
8	Lazio	18	9	4	5	+11	31
9	Cagliari	18	8	6	4	+4	30
10	Empoli	19	9	3	7	+3	30
11	Sampdoria	18	9	2	7	+10	29
12	Udinese	19	8	5	6	+0	29
13	Bologna	18	8	4	6	+5	28
14	Genoa	19	6	8	5	-1	26
15	Sassuolo	19	5	10	4	+0	25
16	Fiorentina	18	5	8	5	+6	23
17	Spal	18	5	7	6	-5	22
18	Parma	19	5	7	7	-7	22
19	Chievo	19	1	7	11	-23	10
20	Frosinone	18	1	5	12	-24	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	18	13	2	3	+16	41
2	Napoli	18	11	3	4	+14	36
3	Atalanta	18	10	3	5	+14	33
4	Inter	18	9	4	5	+10	31
5	Lazio	18	8	3	7	+1	27
6	Milan	18	6	7	5	+4	25
7	Torino	19	4	13	2	+2	25
8	Roma	19	6	7	6	+1	25
9	Sampdoria	19	5	6	8	-3	21
10	Spal	19	6	2	11	-6	20
11	Parma	18	5	4	9	-12	19
12	Sassuolo	18	4	6	8	-5	18
13	Fiorentina	19	3	8	8	-4	17
14	Frosinone	18	4	4	10	-14	16
15	Bologna	18	2	6	10	-14	12
16	Udinese	18	2	5	11	-15	11
17	Genoa	18	2	5	11	-17	11
18	Cagliari	19	2	5	12	-21	11
19	Chievo	18	1	6	11	-27	9
20	Empoli	18	1	5	12	-21	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.