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Eliteserien
Referee: Tom Harald Hagen
Rosenborg
U T S U T
3–2
Full-time
Mjondalen
U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Mjondalen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
13%
25%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
25%
38%
Both score Ø 51%
38%
63%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

42% Possession 58%
14 Shots 15
10 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 8
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rosenborg 15. · Mjondalen 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 9 6 1 2 +11 19
2 Odd 8 6 1 1 +6 19
3 Bodo/Glimt 8 5 2 1 +7 17
4 Valerenga 9 5 2 2 +7 17
5 Kristiansund 9 5 1 3 +1 16
6 Viking 8 4 2 2 +4 14
7 Brann 9 4 2 3 +1 14
8 Haugesund 8 3 2 3 +4 11
9 Mjondalen 8 2 3 3 -2 9
10 Lillestrom 8 2 3 3 -5 9
11 Sarpsborg 08 8 1 4 3 -2 7
12 Ranheim 8 2 1 5 -5 7
13 Stabaek 8 2 1 5 -7 7
14 Stromsgodset 8 1 3 4 -4 6
15 Rosenborg 8 1 3 4 -8 6
16 Tromso 8 1 1 6 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rosenborg Mjondalen
1–0 Tore Reginiussen
27′
2–0 Yann-Erik de Lanlay
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
30′
36′
🟨 Sondre Solholm Johansen
39′
Stian Aasmundsen 2–1
Tonny Brochmann
Half-time 2–1
Pål André Helland 🔁
↦ Emil Konradsen Ceide
46′
65′
Tonny Brochmann 2–2
65′
🔁 Jibril Bojang
↦ Fredrik Brustad
3–2 Alexander Søderlund
66′
Đorđe Denić 🔁
↦ Gjermund Aasen
80′
81′
🟨 Sondre Liseth
Birger Meling 🟨
84′
Pål André Helland 🟨
90′
Gustav Valsvik 🔁
↦ Alexander Søderlund
90′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Rosenborg

4-3-3
1 André Hansen G
2 Vegar Eggen Hedenstad D
4 Tore Reginiussen D
16 Even Hovland D
3 Birger Meling D
7 Mike Jensen M
25 Marius Lundemo M
22 Gjermund Aasen M
11 Yann-Erik de Lanlay F
14 Alexander Søderlund F
35 Emil Konradsen Ceide F
Bench (7)
24 Arild Østbø
19 Gustav Valsvik
5 Đorđe Denić
37 Mikael Törset Johnsen
28 Samuel Adegbenro
34 Erik Botheim
10 Pål André Helland

Coach: E. Horneland

Mjondalen

4-3-3
32 Mathias Eriksen Ranmark G
20 Akeem Latifu D
2 Quint Jansen D
23 Sondre Solholm Johansen D
6 Joackim Solberg D
33 Stian Aasmundsen M
11 Christian Gauseth M
7 Tonny Brochmann M
8 Fredrik Brustad F
10 Olivier Occean F
9 Sondre Liseth F
Bench (6)
12 Julian Faye Lund
4 William Sell
5 Alexander Hansen
3 Vetle Winger Dragsnes
16 Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
31 Jibril Bojang

Coach: V. Hansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tom Harald Hagen · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.