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Eliteserien
Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad
Sarpsborg 08
U U T T T
1–3
Full-time
Ranheim
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Ranheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
13%
25%
Points per game
0,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
13%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
63%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,9
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
14 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 11. · Ranheim 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 9 6 1 2 +11 19
2 Odd 8 6 1 1 +6 19
3 Bodo/Glimt 8 5 2 1 +7 17
4 Valerenga 9 5 2 2 +7 17
5 Kristiansund 9 5 1 3 +1 16
6 Viking 8 4 2 2 +4 14
7 Brann 9 4 2 3 +1 14
8 Haugesund 8 3 2 3 +4 11
9 Mjondalen 8 2 3 3 -2 9
10 Lillestrom 8 2 3 3 -5 9
11 Sarpsborg 08 8 1 4 3 -2 7
12 Ranheim 8 2 1 5 -5 7
13 Stabaek 8 2 1 5 -7 7
14 Stromsgodset 8 1 3 4 -4 6
15 Rosenborg 8 1 3 4 -8 6
16 Tromso 8 1 1 6 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Ranheim
Ismaila Cheick Coulibaly 🟨
40′
45′
Ivar Sollie Ronning 0–1
Erik Tonne
Half-time 0–1
Matti Lund Nielsen 🔁
↦ Wílmer Azofeifa
46′
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen 🔁
↦ Ismaila Cheick Coulibaly
46′
Kristoffer Zachariassen 🟨
49′
51′
Mads Reginiussen 0–2
Ola Solbakken
1–2 Sheldon Bateau
Nicolai Naess
59′
59′
🟨 Ola Solbakken
67′
🔁 Eirik Valla Donnem
↦ Ola Solbakken
Anwar Elyounoussi 🔁
↦ Jon-Helge Tveita
68′
Joachim Thomassen 🟨
71′
74′
Olaus Jair Skarsem 1–3
Ivar Sollie Ronning
78′
🔁 Sondre Sørløkk
↦ Magnus Blakstad
79′
🔁 Michael Karlsen
↦ Ivar Sollie Ronning
Nicolai Naess 🟨
82′
89′
🟨 Erik Tonne
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
31 Aslak Falch G
22 Jon-Helge Tveita D
6 Nicolai Naess D
44 Sheldon Bateau D
16 Joachim Thomassen D
7 Ole Jørgen Halvorsen M
14 Wílmer Azofeifa M
17 Kristoffer Zachariassen M
11 Jonathan Lindseth M
26 Ismaila Cheick Coulibaly F
45 Jörgen Strand Larsen F
Bench (7)
78 Aleksander Vasyutin
5 Pablo Arboine
8 Matti Lund Nielsen
24 Anwar Elyounoussi
28 Alexander Ruud Tveter
88 Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
10 Steffen Skalevik

Coach: G. Bakke

Ranheim

4-3-3
1 Even Barli G
5 Øyvind Alseth D
21 Torbjörn Heggem D
4 Ivar Furu D
24 Aleksander Foosnaes D
6 Magnus Blakstad M
18 Ivar Sollie Ronning M
7 Mads Reginiussen M
16 Olaus Jair Skarsem F
26 Ola Solbakken F
15 Erik Tonne F
Bench (6)
12 Magnus Lenes
3 Daniel Kvande
17 Sondre Sørløkk
11 Eirik Valla Donnem
9 Michael Karlsen
22 Erlend Tolnes Sorhoy

Coach: S. Maalen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sigurd Smehus Kringstad · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.