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Allsvenskan
Sirius
U T T T S
3–4
Full-time
Hacken
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Hacken
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,7
1,5
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
This season — Allsvenskan · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 45%
33%
56%
Points per game
1,1
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
44%
33%
Both score Ø 39%
44%
33%
Average goals
2,9
1,9
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,7
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sirius 11. · Hacken 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 9 5 3 1 +8 18
2 Goteborg 9 5 2 2 +8 17
3 Hacken 9 5 2 2 +7 17
4 Hammarby 9 5 2 2 +6 17
5 AIK 9 5 2 2 +3 17
6 Djurgarden 9 4 3 2 +5 15
7 Elfsborg 9 4 3 2 +1 15
8 Ostersunds 9 3 4 2 -1 13
9 Norrkoping 9 2 5 2 -1 11
10 Kalmar 9 2 5 2 -1 11
11 Sirius 9 3 1 5 -4 10
12 Helsingborg 10 2 3 5 -6 9
13 Sundsvall 9 2 2 5 -2 8
14 Orebro 9 2 2 5 -6 8
15 AFC Eskilstuna 10 1 3 6 -7 6
16 Falkenbergs 9 1 2 6 -10 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.