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Serie A
Referee: Michael Fabbri
Udinese
S T T
1–2
Full-time
Empoli
T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Empoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,3
3,7
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,3
3,7
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
7 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
6 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
6 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 13. · Empoli 17. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 3 3 0 0 +3 9
2 Chievo 3 2 1 0 +6 7
3 Sampdoria 3 2 1 0 +5 7
4 Torino 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Roma 3 2 1 0 +3 7
6 Sassuolo 3 2 1 0 +2 7
7 Palermo 3 2 1 0 +2 7
8 Fiorentina 3 2 0 1 +1 6
9 Lazio 3 2 0 1 -1 6
10 Atalanta 3 1 1 1 +1 4
11 Genoa 3 1 0 2 +0 3
12 Milan 3 1 0 2 -2 3
13 Udinese 3 1 0 2 -2 3
14 Napoli 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Verona 3 0 2 1 -2 2
16 Juventus 3 0 1 2 -2 1
17 Empoli 3 0 1 2 -3 1
18 Carpi 3 0 1 2 -4 1
19 Bologna 3 0 0 3 -4 0
20 Frosinone 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Empoli
1–0 D. Zapata ⚽
A. Di Natale
19′
Manuel Iturra 🟨
27′
Ali Adnan 🟨
30′
38′
🟨 Massimo Maccarone
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Ronaldo
↦ A. El Hadji
Panagiotis Kone 🟨
54′
Bruno Fernandes 🔁
↦ M. Iturra
54′
61′
🟨 Vincent Laurini
62′
🔁 L. Paredes
↦ P. Zielinski
R. Aguirre 🔁
↦ A. Di Natale
68′
Panagiotis Kone 🟨
72′
Panagiotis Kone 🟥
72′
73′
⚽ L. Paredes 1–1
F. Barba
Marquinho 🔁
↦ D. Zapata
74′
80′
🟨 Ronaldo
82′
🔁 M. Livaja
↦ M. Pucciarelli
Bruno Fernandes 🟨
84′
Marquinho 🟨
90′
92′
⚽ M. Maccarone 1–2
R. Saponara
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Udinese

31 O. Karnezis G
5 Danilo D
21 Edenilson M
89 I. Piris D
2 M. Wagué D
53 Ali Adnan M
16 M. Iturra M
33 P. Kone M
7 E. Agyemang-Badu M
10 A. Di Natale F
9 D. Zapata F
Bench (12)
8 Bruno Fernandes
74 R. Aguirre
23 Marquinho
11 M. Domizzi
13 E. Insúa
18 S. Perica
26 G. Pasquale
30 Felipe
75 T. Heurtaux
77 C. Théréau
90 R. Romo
97 A. Meret

Empoli

28 L. Skorupski G
21 Mário Rui D
2 V. Laurini D
26 L. Tonelli D
19 F. Barba D
11 D. Croce M
5 R. Saponara M
17 P. Zielinski M
14 A. El Hadji M
7 M. Maccarone F
20 M. Pucciarelli F
Bench (12)
12 Ronaldo
32 L. Paredes
39 M. Livaja
3 M. Zambelli
6 L. Bittante
13 R. Maiello
15 A. Costa
22 A. Piu
23 A. Pelagotti
31 M. Camporese
33 R. Krunić
77 M. Büchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Michael Fabbri · 75 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.