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Serie A
Referee: Massimiliano Irrati
Bologna
T S U T U
1–1
Full-time
Sassuolo
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Serie A · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
38%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
38%
63%
Both score Ø 57%
63%
50%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 11
5 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bologna 15. · Sassuolo 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 9 7 0 2 +11 21
2 Milan 9 6 1 2 +5 19
3 Napoli 9 5 2 2 +7 17
4 Roma 8 5 1 2 +9 16
5 Torino 9 4 3 2 +8 15
6 Lazio 9 4 3 2 +6 15
7 Chievo 9 4 2 3 +1 14
8 Atalanta 9 4 1 4 -1 13
9 Cagliari 9 4 1 4 -3 13
10 Fiorentina 8 3 3 2 +2 12
11 Genoa 8 3 3 2 +2 12
12 Sassuolo 8 4 0 4 -2 12
13 Inter 9 3 2 4 -1 11
14 Sampdoria 9 3 2 4 -2 11
15 Bologna 8 3 2 3 -3 11
16 Udinese 9 3 1 5 -5 10
17 Pescara 9 1 4 4 -5 7
18 Palermo 8 1 3 4 -7 6
19 Empoli 9 1 3 5 -9 6
20 Crotone 9 0 1 8 -13 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bologna Sassuolo
1–0 S. Verdi
10′
12′
🔁 L. Pellegrini
↦ F. Magnanelli
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Politano
↦ S. Sensi
E. Pulgar 🔁
↦ Á. Nagy
70′
72′
🔁 A. Matri
↦ P. Iemmello
77′
🟨 Lorenzo Pellegrini
S. Umar 🔁
↦ S. Floccari
80′
86′
A. Matri 1–1
F. Di Francesco 🔁
↦ S. Verdi
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bologna

4-3-3
1 Angelo Da Costa G
35 V. Torosidis D
20 D. Maietta D
18 F. Helander D
25 A. Masina D
31 B. Džemaili M
8 S. Taïder M
16 Á. Nagy M
26 S. Floccari F
9 S. Verdi F
11 L. Krejčí M
Bench (12)
5 E. Pulgar
19 S. Umar
14 F. Di Francesco
15 I. M'baye
24 A. Ferrari
22 L. Rizzo
23 A. Gomis
17 G. Donsah
97 M. Sarr
2 M. Oikonomou
7 A. Mounier
6 F. Viviani

Coach: R. Donadoni

Sassuolo

4-3-3
47 A. Consigli G
28 P. Cannavaro D
13 F. Peluso D
15 F. Acerbi D
20 Pol Lirola D
8 D. Biondini M
4 F. Magnanelli M
12 S. Sensi M
9 P. Iemmello F
11 G. Defrel F
27 F. Ricci F
Bench (12)
6 L. Pellegrini
16 M. Politano
10 A. Matri
22 L. Mazzitelli
39 C. Dell'Orco
90 A. Ragusa
98 C. Adjapong
1 A. Pomini
32 A. Duncan
23 M. Gazzola
5 L. Antei
79 G. Pegolo

Coach: E. Di Francesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Massimiliano Irrati · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.