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Serie A
Referee: Gianpaolo Calvarese
Lazio
U S U S U
4–1
Full-time
Chievo
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Chievo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Serie A · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 38%
40%
35%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
55%
30%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
24 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 5
1 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Lazio 9. · Chievo 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 20 13 5 2 +25 44
2 Juventus 20 13 3 4 +22 42
3 Fiorentina 21 13 2 6 +18 41
4 Inter 20 12 4 4 +12 40
5 Roma 20 9 8 3 +14 35
6 Milan 21 9 6 6 +4 33
7 Sassuolo 20 8 8 4 +4 32
8 Empoli 21 9 5 7 +1 32
9 Lazio 20 8 4 8 -4 28
10 Chievo 20 7 6 7 +4 27
11 Torino 21 7 5 9 -1 26
12 Atalanta 21 7 5 9 -3 26
13 Udinese 20 7 3 10 -13 24
14 Sampdoria 20 6 5 9 -3 23
15 Bologna 20 7 2 11 -5 23
16 Genoa 20 6 4 10 -3 22
17 Palermo 20 6 3 11 -14 21
18 Carpi 20 4 5 11 -16 17
19 Frosinone 21 4 4 13 -23 16
20 Verona 20 0 9 11 -19 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Aug -15 Chievo – Lazio 4–0

Match report

Lazio Chievo
5′
B. Cesar 0–1
V. Birsa
22′
🟨 Boštjan Cesar
Senad Lulić 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–1
A. Matri 🔁
↦ F. Đorđević
46′
47′
🟨 Boštjan Cesar
47′
🟥 Boštjan Cesar
49′
🔁 G. Sardo
↦ R. Inglese
M. Klose 🔁
↦ S. Milinković-Savić
60′
66′
🔁 N. Frey
↦ V. Birsa
1–1 A. Candreva
66′
Felipe Anderson 🔁
↦ A. Konko
69′
2–1 D. Cataldi
72′
Danilo Cataldi 🟨
73′
74′
🔁 P. M'Poku
↦ G. Pinzi
3–1 A. Candreva
Felipe Anderson
81′
Ştefan Radu 🟥
82′
4–1 B. Keita
A. Candreva
96′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Lazio

99 E. Berisha G
29 A. Konko D
26 Ş. Radu D
13 M. Biševac D
87 A. Candreva M
19 S. Lulić M
16 M. Parolo M
32 D. Cataldi M
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
9 F. Đorđević F
14 B. Keita F
Bench (10)
17 A. Matri
11 M. Klose
10 Felipe Anderson
4 Patric
5 E. Braafheid
6 S. Mauri
8 D. Basta
23 O. Onazi
55 G. Guerrieri
66 K. Matosevic

Chievo

1 A. Bizzarri G
12 B. Cesar D
3 D. Dainelli D
18 M. Gobbi D
29 F. Cacciatore D
23 V. Birsa M
6 G. Pinzi M
8 I. Radovanović M
19 L. Castro M
43 A. Paloschi F
45 R. Inglese F
Bench (8)
20 G. Sardo
21 N. Frey
40 P. M'Poku
2 N. Spolli
31 S. Pellissier
32 W. Bressan
36 F. Costa
90 A. Seculin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Gianpaolo Calvarese · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.