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Serie A

Referee: Nicola Rizzoli

Sampdoria

T U S T U

2–1

Full-time

Lazio

U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Lazio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,3

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 32%

26%

38%

Points per game

1,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

47%

Both score Ø 53%

62%

44%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

40% Possession 60%

13 Shots 20

7 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 12

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sampdoria 15. · Lazio 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	34	26	4	4	+48	82
2	Napoli	34	22	7	5	+43	73
3	Roma	34	19	11	4	+35	68
4	Inter	35	19	7	9	+15	64
5	Fiorentina	34	17	8	9	+17	59
6	Milan	34	14	11	9	+8	53
7	Sassuolo	34	12	13	9	+3	49
8	Chievo	34	13	9	12	+2	48
9	Lazio	34	13	9	12	-1	48
10	Genoa	34	12	7	15	-2	43
11	Torino	34	11	9	14	-3	42
12	Empoli	34	11	9	14	-8	42
13	Atalanta	34	9	11	14	-7	38
14	Udinese	35	10	8	17	-20	38
15	Sampdoria	34	9	10	15	-4	37
16	Bologna	34	10	7	17	-13	37
17	Carpi	34	7	11	16	-18	32
18	Palermo	35	8	8	19	-30	32
19	Frosinone	35	8	6	21	-36	30
20	Verona	34	3	13	18	-29	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	17	14	3	0	+32	45
2	Juventus	17	14	2	1	+24	44
3	Roma	17	11	5	1	+23	38
4	Inter	18	12	2	4	+13	38
5	Fiorentina	17	11	4	2	+19	37
6	Genoa	17	10	3	4	+12	33
7	Milan	17	9	5	3	+8	32
8	Lazio	17	9	3	5	+9	30
9	Chievo	17	7	6	4	+7	27
10	Atalanta	17	7	5	5	+5	26
11	Sassuolo	17	6	8	3	+2	26
12	Sampdoria	17	7	4	6	+6	25
13	Torino	17	6	6	5	+3	24
14	Empoli	17	6	5	6	+1	23
15	Udinese	17	6	4	7	-5	22
16	Frosinone	18	6	4	8	-7	22
17	Carpi	17	5	5	7	-2	20
18	Bologna	17	4	5	8	-2	17
19	Palermo	17	4	4	9	-9	16
20	Verona	17	2	6	9	-11	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	17	12	2	3	+24	38
2	Roma	17	8	6	3	+12	30
3	Napoli	17	8	4	5	+11	28
4	Inter	17	7	5	5	+2	26
5	Sassuolo	17	6	5	6	+1	23
6	Fiorentina	17	6	4	7	-2	22
7	Milan	17	5	6	6	+0	21
8	Chievo	17	6	3	8	-5	21
9	Bologna	17	6	2	9	-11	20
10	Empoli	17	5	4	8	-9	19
11	Torino	17	5	3	9	-6	18
12	Lazio	17	4	6	7	-10	18
13	Udinese	18	4	4	10	-15	16
14	Palermo	18	4	4	10	-21	16
15	Sampdoria	17	2	6	9	-10	12
16	Atalanta	17	2	6	9	-12	12
17	Carpi	17	2	6	9	-16	12
18	Genoa	17	2	4	11	-14	10
19	Verona	17	1	7	9	-18	10
20	Frosinone	17	2	2	13	-29	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.