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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Valeri

Parma

S T T U S

2–1

Full-time

Sassuolo

T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Sassuolo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 42%

42%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 46%

33%

58%

Average goals

2,3

3,1

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

26% Possession 74%

14 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Parma 11. · Sassuolo 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	13	12	1	0	+20	37
2	Inter	13	9	1	3	+15	28
3	Napoli	12	9	1	2	+13	28
4	Lazio	12	7	1	4	+4	22
5	Milan	12	6	3	3	+5	21
6	Roma	13	5	4	4	+6	19
7	Sassuolo	12	5	4	3	+3	19
8	Atalanta	12	5	3	4	+9	18
9	Fiorentina	12	4	5	3	+8	17
10	Torino	12	4	5	3	+2	17
11	Parma	12	5	2	5	-3	17
12	Sampdoria	12	4	3	5	+1	15
13	Cagliari	12	3	5	4	-4	14
14	Genoa	12	4	2	6	-9	14
15	Spal	13	4	1	8	-10	13
16	Udinese	13	3	3	7	-6	12
17	Bologna	12	2	4	6	-7	10
18	Empoli	12	2	3	7	-9	9
19	Frosinone	13	1	4	8	-18	7
20	Chievo	12	0	3	9	-20	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	7	6	1	0	+11	19
2	Napoli	6	5	1	0	+11	16
3	Inter	7	5	1	1	+11	16
4	Fiorentina	6	4	2	0	+11	14
5	Milan	6	4	1	1	+3	13
6	Lazio	6	4	0	2	+4	12
7	Roma	6	3	2	1	+7	11
8	Sassuolo	6	3	2	1	+2	11
9	Atalanta	6	3	1	2	+8	10
10	Genoa	6	3	1	2	+1	10
11	Cagliari	5	2	3	0	+3	9
12	Sampdoria	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Parma	6	2	2	2	+0	8
14	Empoli	6	2	1	3	-1	7
15	Torino	6	2	1	3	-2	7
16	Bologna	6	2	1	3	-2	7
17	Spal	6	2	1	3	-3	7
18	Udinese	7	2	1	4	-5	7
19	Frosinone	6	0	3	3	-8	3
20	Chievo	7	0	2	5	-10	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	6	6	0	0	+9	18
2	Inter	6	4	0	2	+4	12
3	Napoli	6	4	0	2	+2	12
4	Torino	6	2	4	0	+4	10
5	Lazio	6	3	1	2	+0	10
6	Parma	6	3	0	3	-3	9
7	Milan	6	2	2	2	+2	8
8	Atalanta	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Sassuolo	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Roma	7	2	2	3	-1	8
11	Sampdoria	6	2	1	3	+1	7
12	Spal	7	2	0	5	-7	6
13	Udinese	6	1	2	3	-1	5
14	Cagliari	7	1	2	4	-7	5
15	Genoa	6	1	1	4	-10	4
16	Frosinone	7	1	1	5	-10	4
17	Fiorentina	6	0	3	3	-3	3
18	Bologna	6	0	3	3	-5	3
19	Empoli	6	0	2	4	-8	2
20	Chievo	5	0	1	4	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.