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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernandez

Espanol

S S U S T

1–3

Full-time

Girona

T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Girona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

33%

42%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

60% Possession 40%

18 Shots 16

10 Shots on target 11

5 Blocked shots 3

7 Goalkeeper saves 9

8 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Espanol 5. · Girona 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	13	8	2	3	+11	26
2	Barcelona	13	7	4	2	+16	25
3	Ath Madrid	13	6	6	1	+8	24
4	Alaves	13	7	2	4	+4	23
5	Espanol	12	6	3	3	+6	21
6	Real Madrid	13	6	2	5	+1	20
7	Levante	13	5	3	5	-1	18
8	Eibar	13	5	3	5	-3	18
9	Valencia	13	3	8	2	+2	17
10	Getafe	13	4	5	4	+1	17
11	Girona	12	4	5	3	-1	17
12	Valladolid	13	4	5	4	-1	17
13	Sociedad	12	4	4	4	+1	16
14	Betis	12	4	4	4	-3	16
15	Celta	12	3	5	4	+2	14
16	Leganes	13	3	4	6	-6	13
17	Villarreal	12	2	5	5	-2	11
18	Ath Bilbao	13	1	8	4	-6	11
19	Vallecano	13	1	4	8	-14	7
20	Huesca	13	1	4	8	-15	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	7	5	2	0	+8	17
2	Sevilla	7	5	1	1	+5	16
3	Espanol	5	5	0	0	+7	15
4	Barcelona	7	4	2	1	+14	14
5	Alaves	6	4	2	0	+4	14
6	Real Madrid	6	4	1	1	+7	13
7	Eibar	7	4	1	2	+3	13
8	Leganes	6	3	2	1	+2	11
9	Celta	7	2	3	2	+3	9
10	Valencia	7	1	5	1	+2	8
11	Valladolid	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Betis	6	2	2	2	-2	8
13	Girona	7	2	2	3	-3	8
14	Getafe	6	2	1	3	+0	7
15	Levante	6	2	1	3	-4	7
16	Ath Bilbao	7	1	4	2	-4	7
17	Sociedad	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Villarreal	6	0	3	3	-3	3
19	Huesca	6	0	3	3	-4	3
20	Vallecano	7	0	3	4	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	7	4	1	2	+3	13
2	Levante	7	3	2	2	+3	11
3	Barcelona	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Sevilla	6	3	1	2	+6	10
5	Getafe	7	2	4	1	+1	10
6	Girona	5	2	3	0	+2	9
7	Alaves	7	3	0	4	+0	9
8	Valencia	6	2	3	1	+0	9
9	Valladolid	7	2	3	2	-1	9
10	Villarreal	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Betis	6	2	2	2	-1	8
12	Ath Madrid	6	1	4	1	+0	7
13	Real Madrid	7	2	1	4	-6	7
14	Espanol	7	1	3	3	-1	6
15	Celta	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Eibar	6	1	2	3	-6	5
17	Ath Bilbao	6	0	4	2	-2	4
18	Vallecano	6	1	1	4	-5	4
19	Huesca	7	1	1	5	-11	4
20	Leganes	7	0	2	5	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.