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La Liga
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
Betis
T U T S T
0–1
Full-time
Villarreal
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 37%
28%
45%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
45%
34%
Both score Ø 47%
52%
41%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
16 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 14. · Villarreal 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 28 21 5 2 +46 68
2 Barcelona 29 20 6 3 +59 66
3 Ath Madrid 29 17 7 5 +31 58
4 Sevilla 29 17 7 5 +18 58
5 Ath Bilbao 30 15 5 10 +6 50
6 Sociedad 29 15 4 10 +3 49
7 Villarreal 29 13 9 7 +18 48
8 Eibar 29 12 8 9 +6 44
9 Espanol 30 11 10 9 +0 43
10 Celta 28 12 5 11 -3 41
11 Alaves 29 10 10 9 -7 40
12 Las Palmas 29 9 8 12 -3 35
13 Valencia 29 9 6 14 -10 33
14 Betis 29 8 7 14 -14 31
15 Malaga 29 6 9 14 -14 27
16 La Coruna 29 6 9 14 -15 27
17 Leganes 29 6 9 14 -19 27
18 Sp Gijon 29 5 7 17 -26 22
19 Granada 29 4 7 18 -36 19
20 Osasuna 29 1 8 20 -40 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Villarreal
Darko Brašanac 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–1
47′
Adrián 0–1
José Ángel
Joaquín 🔁
↦ C. Piccini
54′
64′
🔁 C. Bakambu
↦ N. Sansone
66′
🟨 Víctor Ruiz
68′
🔁 Bruno
↦ R. Soriano
70′
🟨 Jonathan dos Santos
Riza Durmisi 🟨
73′
R. Donk 🔁
↦ D. Brašanac
77′
Álex Alegría 🔁
↦ A. Toșca
78′
85′
🔁 Jaume Costa
↦ Adrián
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Betis

5-3-2
13 Adán G
21 A. Toșca D
4 Bruno González D
14 R. Durmisi D
12 C. Piccini D
20 G. Pezzella D
22 D. Brašanac M
7 Rubén Pardo M
10 Dani Ceballos M
24 Rubén Castro F
9 A. Sanabria F
Bench (7)
17 Joaquín
15 R. Donk
19 Álex Alegría
2 Rafa Navarro
3 Álex Martínez
5 Petros
1 Dani Giménez

Coach: Víctor Sánchez

Villarreal

4-4-2
13 Andrés Fernández G
5 M. Musacchio D
2 Mario Gaspar D
3 José Ángel D
6 Víctor Ruíz D
20 R. Soriano M
8 J. dos Santos M
19 Samu Castillejo M
16 Rodri Hernández M
15 Adrián
18 N. Sansone F
Bench (7)
17 C. Bakambu
21 Bruno
11 Jaume Costa
9 Soldado
12 Álvaro González
14 Trigueros
25 M. Barbosa

Coach: Fran Escribá

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jesus Gil Manzano · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.