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Bundesliga

Referee: Daniel Siebert

M'gladbach

S S T S S

4–1

Full-time

Hannover

S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Hannover

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,7

3,8

Scored

2,7

1,7

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 41%

64%

18%

Points per game

2,1

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 78%

82%

73%

Both score Ø 73%

64%

82%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

2,4

1,3

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

62% Possession 38%

20 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 5

3 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match M'gladbach 3. · Hannover 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	12	9	3	0	+22	30
2	Ein Frankfurt	12	7	2	3	+15	23
3	M'gladbach	11	7	2	2	+13	23
4	RB Leipzig	12	6	4	2	+12	22
5	Bayern Munich	12	6	3	3	+6	21
6	Hoffenheim	12	6	2	4	+9	20
7	Werder Bremen	12	5	3	4	+0	18
8	Hertha	12	4	5	3	-1	17
9	Wolfsburg	12	4	3	5	-1	15
10	Mainz	12	4	3	5	-3	15
11	Freiburg	12	3	5	4	-4	14
12	Leverkusen	12	4	2	6	-6	14
13	Augsburg	12	3	4	5	-1	13
14	Schalke 04	12	4	1	7	-4	13
15	Nurnberg	12	2	4	6	-16	10
16	Hannover	11	2	3	6	-8	9
17	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	2	3	7	-15	9
18	Stuttgart	12	2	2	8	-18	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	6	5	1	0	+14	16
2	M'gladbach	5	5	0	0	+12	15
3	RB Leipzig	6	4	2	0	+12	14
4	Hertha	6	3	2	1	+2	11
5	Mainz	7	3	2	2	+1	11
6	Ein Frankfurt	5	3	1	1	+11	10
7	Hoffenheim	6	3	1	2	+5	10
8	Bayern Munich	6	2	3	1	+1	9
9	Schalke 04	6	3	0	3	+0	9
10	Freiburg	7	2	3	2	-1	9
11	Nurnberg	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Werder Bremen	6	2	2	2	-2	8
13	Wolfsburg	7	2	2	3	-3	8
14	Hannover	5	2	1	2	+0	7
15	Leverkusen	6	2	1	3	-4	7
16	Augsburg	6	1	3	2	+0	6
17	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	2	0	4	-3	6
18	Stuttgart	5	1	1	3	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	6	4	2	0	+8	14
2	Ein Frankfurt	7	4	1	2	+4	13
3	Bayern Munich	6	4	0	2	+5	12
4	Hoffenheim	6	3	1	2	+4	10
5	Werder Bremen	6	3	1	2	+2	10
6	M'gladbach	6	2	2	2	+1	8
7	RB Leipzig	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Wolfsburg	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Augsburg	6	2	1	3	-1	7
10	Leverkusen	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Hertha	6	1	3	2	-3	6
12	Freiburg	5	1	2	2	-3	5
13	Mainz	5	1	1	3	-4	4
14	Schalke 04	6	1	1	4	-4	4
15	Stuttgart	7	1	1	5	-9	4
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	0	3	3	-12	3
17	Hannover	6	0	2	4	-8	2
18	Nurnberg	6	0	2	4	-17	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.