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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Hernandez
La Coruna
S U U T U
2–4
Full-time
Villarreal
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

La Coruna Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 32%
17%
47%
Points per game
0,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
56%
53%
Both score Ø 53%
56%
50%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

51% Possession 49%
16 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 0
3 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 5
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match La Coruna 18. · Villarreal 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 36 27 9 0 +70 90
2 Ath Madrid 36 22 9 5 +35 75
3 Real Madrid 36 21 9 6 +44 72
4 Valencia 36 20 7 9 +25 67
5 Betis 36 18 5 13 +0 59
6 Villarreal 36 17 6 13 +5 57
7 Sevilla 36 16 6 14 -10 54
8 Getafe 36 14 10 12 +9 52
9 Sociedad 37 14 7 16 +8 49
10 Girona 36 13 9 14 -9 48
11 Eibar 36 13 8 15 -7 47
12 Celta 36 12 10 14 +3 46
13 Alaves 36 14 2 20 -11 44
14 Ath Bilbao 36 10 13 13 -5 43
15 Espanol 36 10 13 13 -10 43
16 Levante 36 10 13 13 -13 43
17 Leganes 37 11 7 19 -18 40
18 La Coruna 36 6 11 19 -35 29
19 Las Palmas 36 5 7 24 -48 22
20 Malaga 36 5 5 26 -33 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

La Coruna Villarreal
2′
Samu Castillejo 0–1
Mario Gaspar
Guilherme 🟨
22′
31′
Trigueros 0–2
Pablo Fornals
45′
Samu Castillejo 0–3
Pablo Fornals
Half-time 0–3
Z. Bakkali 🔁
↦ Guilherme
46′
1–3 Borja Valle
Lucas Pérez
58′
Borja Valle 🟨
61′
61′
🔁 N. Sansone
↦ Dani Raba
Pedro Mosquera 🔁
↦ F. Valverde
67′
73′
🔁 D. Cheryshev
↦ Samu Castillejo
Raúl Albentosa 🟨
74′
Mujaid Sadick 🔁
↦ Juanfran
75′
87′
🔁 Javi Fuego
↦ Trigueros
2–3 Borja Valle
Adrián
88′
92′
D. Cheryshev 2–4
C. Bacca
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

La Coruna

4-3-3
13 Rubén G
3 Fernando Navarro D
16 Luisinho D
2 Juanfran D
6 Albentosa D
14 M. Krohn-Dehli M
20 Guilherme M
19 Borja Valle M
17 F. Valverde M
15 Adrián
7 Lucas Pérez F
Bench (7)
18 Z. Bakkali
5 Pedro Mosquera
34 Mujaid Sadick
8 E. Çolak
21 S. Muntari
23 Gerard Valentín
25 M. Koval

Coach: C. Seedorf

Villarreal

4-2-3-1
1 Sergio Asenjo G
2 Mario Gaspar D
11 Jaume Costa D
6 Víctor Ruíz D
3 Álvaro González D
14 Trigueros M
10 Samu Castillejo M
16 Rodri Hernández M
8 Pablo Fornals M
9 C. Bacca F
28 Dani Raba M
Bench (7)
18 N. Sansone
7 D. Cheryshev
19 Javi Fuego
13 Andrés Fernández
15 E. Ünal
22 A. Rukavina
23 D. Bonera

Coach: Javi Calleja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alejandro Hernandez · 226 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.