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La Liga
Referee: Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo
Betis
S S U S T
2–2
Full-time
Sevilla
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 47%
50%
44%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
50%
53%
Both score Ø 42%
39%
44%
Average goals
3,1
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 5. · Sevilla 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 36 27 9 0 +70 90
2 Ath Madrid 36 22 9 5 +35 75
3 Real Madrid 36 21 9 6 +44 72
4 Valencia 36 20 7 9 +25 67
5 Betis 36 18 5 13 +0 59
6 Villarreal 36 17 6 13 +5 57
7 Sevilla 36 16 6 14 -10 54
8 Getafe 36 14 10 12 +9 52
9 Sociedad 37 14 7 16 +8 49
10 Girona 36 13 9 14 -9 48
11 Eibar 36 13 8 15 -7 47
12 Celta 36 12 10 14 +3 46
13 Alaves 36 14 2 20 -11 44
14 Ath Bilbao 36 10 13 13 -5 43
15 Espanol 36 10 13 13 -10 43
16 Levante 36 10 13 13 -13 43
17 Leganes 37 11 7 19 -18 40
18 La Coruna 36 6 11 19 -35 29
19 Las Palmas 36 5 7 24 -48 22
20 Malaga 36 5 5 26 -33 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Sevilla
1–0 Bartra
Joaquín
5′
Andrés Guardado 🟨
17′
20′
🟨 Pablo Sarabia
24′
🟨 Clément Lenglet
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 W. Ben Yedder
↦ G. Mercado
R. Boudebouz 🔁
↦ A. Guardado
46′
46′
🔁 M. Layún
↦ Pablo Sarabia
57′
W. Ben Yedder 1–1
Loren Morón 🔁
↦ Sergio León
59′
71′
🟨 Sergio Escudero
Cristian Tello 🔁
↦ Joaquín
73′
79′
S. Kjær 1–2
W. Ben Yedder
2–2 Loren Morón
81′
85′
🔁 F. Vázquez
↦ Nolito
90′
🟨 Miguel Layún
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Betis

3-1-4-2
31 Pedro López G
19 Barragán M
23 A. Mandi D
5 Jordi Amat D
15 Bartra D
14 R. Durmisi D
17 Joaquín M
18 A. Guardado M
3 Javi García M
6 Fabián Ruiz M
7 Sergio León F
Bench (7)
10 R. Boudebouz
16 Loren Morón
20 Cristian Tello
8 Víctor Camarasa
12 J. Campbell
24 Rubén Castro
41 Dani Rebollo

Coach: Quique Setién

Sevilla

4-2-3-1
13 David Soria G
4 S. Kjær D
25 G. Mercado D
18 Sergio Escudero D
5 C. Lenglet D
10 É. Banega M
15 S. N'Zonzi M
17 Pablo Sarabia M
7 Roque Mesa M
24 Nolito F
23 Sandro Ramírez F
Bench (7)
9 W. Ben Yedder
3 M. Layún
22 F. Vázquez
1 Sergio Rico
14 G. Pizarro
20 L. Muriel
21 N. Pareja

Coach: Joaquín Caparrós

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.