La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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La Coruna
Sevilla
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 | +64 | 82 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | +39 | 71 |
| 3 |
Real Madrid
|
32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 67 |
| 4 |
Valencia
|
32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | +27 | 65 |
| 5 |
Betis
|
32 | 16 | 4 | 12 | +0 | 52 |
| 6 |
Villarreal
|
32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | +4 | 48 |
| 7 |
Sevilla
|
32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | -11 | 47 |
| 8 |
Girona
|
32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | -5 | 44 |
| 9 |
Celta
|
32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | +6 | 43 |
| 10 |
Getafe
|
32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | +6 | 42 |
| 11 |
Sociedad
|
32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | +5 | 40 |
| 12 |
Eibar
|
32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | -10 | 40 |
| 13 |
Ath Bilbao
|
32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | -3 | 39 |
| 14 |
Leganes
|
32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | -12 | 39 |
| 15 |
Alaves
|
32 | 12 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |
Espanol
|
32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | -13 | 36 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | -20 | 31 |
| 18 |
La Coruna
|
32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -33 | 26 |
| 19 |
Las Palmas
|
32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | -42 | 21 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | -30 | 17 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
F. Schär
D
Coach: C. Seedorf
David Soria
G
Sandro Ramírez
F
Carlos Fernández
F
Coach: V. Montella
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ath Bilbao
La Coruna
La Coruna
Malaga
Ath Madrid
La Coruna
La Coruna
Las Palmas
Girona
La Coruna
David Medie Jimenez · 33 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.