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La Liga
Referee: David Medie Jimenez
Villarreal
T T T S S
1–1
Full-time
La Coruna
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal La Coruna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,3
This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 36%
47%
24%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
53%
71%
Both score Ø 47%
35%
59%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
11 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Villarreal 6. · La Coruna 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 18 15 3 0 +41 48
2 Ath Madrid 18 11 6 1 +19 39
3 Valencia 18 11 4 3 +20 37
4 Real Madrid 16 9 4 3 +16 31
5 Sevilla 18 9 2 7 -4 29
6 Villarreal 17 8 3 6 +4 27
7 Eibar 18 8 3 7 -6 27
8 Leganes 17 7 3 7 -1 24
9 Betis 18 7 3 8 -4 24
10 Getafe 18 6 5 7 +4 23
11 Sociedad 18 6 5 7 +1 23
12 Girona 18 6 5 7 -6 23
13 Celta 17 6 3 8 +5 21
14 Ath Bilbao 17 5 6 6 -1 21
15 Espanol 17 5 5 7 -7 20
16 Levante 18 3 9 6 -10 18
17 Alaves 17 5 0 12 -12 15
18 La Coruna 17 4 3 10 -15 15
19 Malaga 17 3 2 12 -18 11
20 Las Palmas 18 3 2 13 -26 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Villarreal La Coruna
Víctor Ruiz 🟨
28′
1–0 E. Ünal
C. Bacca
30′
Half-time 1–0
Álvaro González 🟨
54′
60′
🟨 Guilherme
60′
🔁 E. Çolak
↦ Carles Gil
D. Cheryshev 🔁
↦ Samu Castillejo
64′
72′
🟨 Luisinho
Chuca 🔁
↦ Dani Raba
76′
Carlos Bacca 🟨
77′
Mario Gaspar 🟨
77′
77′
🟨 Sidnei
78′
🔁 Borja Valle
↦ Pedro Mosquera
84′
F. Andone 1–1
Sidnei
85′
🔁 Bruno Gama
↦ Adrián
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-3-1-2
1 Sergio Asenjo G
2 Mario Gaspar D
11 Jaume Costa D
6 Víctor Ruíz D
3 Álvaro González D
10 Samu Castillejo M
16 Rodri Hernández M
8 Pablo Fornals M
9 C. Bacca F
15 E. Ünal F
28 Dani Raba M
Bench (7)
7 D. Cheryshev
33 Chuca
5 Adrián Marín
22 A. Rukavina
23 D. Bonera
25 M. Barbosa
29 Imanol García

Coach: Javi Calleja

La Coruna

4-3-3
13 Rubén G
12 Sidnei D
16 Luisinho D
2 Juanfran D
6 Albentosa D
22 C. Borges M
5 Pedro Mosquera M
20 Guilherme M
11 Carles Gil M
15 Adrián
10 F. Andone F
Bench (7)
8 E. Çolak
19 Borja Valle
21 Bruno Gama
3 Fernando Navarro
18 Z. Bakkali
25 C. Pantilimon
33 Steve One

Coach: Cristóbal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

David Medie Jimenez · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.