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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez
Sevilla
S U S S S
1–0
Full-time
Las Palmas
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,3
This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
14 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 8
12 Corners 0
5 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sevilla 3. · Las Palmas 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 5 5 0 0 +15 15
2 Ath Madrid 5 3 2 0 +6 11
3 Sevilla 4 3 1 0 +5 10
4 Valencia 5 2 3 0 +6 9
5 Sociedad 4 3 0 1 +4 9
6 Real Madrid 4 2 2 0 +5 8
7 Ath Bilbao 5 2 1 2 +1 7
8 Leganes 5 2 1 2 +0 7
9 Villarreal 4 2 0 2 +1 6
10 Levante 4 1 3 0 +1 6
11 Betis 4 2 0 2 -2 6
12 Las Palmas 4 2 0 2 -2 6
13 Eibar 5 2 0 3 -7 6
14 Girona 5 1 2 2 -2 5
15 Getafe 4 1 1 2 -1 4
16 La Coruna 5 1 1 3 -5 4
17 Espanol 4 1 1 2 -5 4
18 Celta 4 1 0 3 -2 3
19 Alaves 5 0 0 5 -8 0
20 Malaga 5 0 0 5 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sevilla Las Palmas
1′
🟨 David García
Gabriel Mercado 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
58′
🔁 Momo
↦ Vitolo
F. Vázquez 🔁
↦ Ganso
62′
66′
🔁 Vicente Gómez
↦ A. Aquilani
Pablo Sarabia 🔁
↦ J. Correa
70′
76′
🟨 Momo
É. Banega 🔁
↦ M. Krohn-Dehli
76′
1–0 Jesús Navas
F. Vázquez
83′
85′
🔁 H. Toledo
↦ Hernán
Jesús Navas 🟨
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sevilla

4-2-3-1
1 Sergio Rico G
21 N. Pareja
4 S. Kjær D
25 G. Mercado D
18 Sergio Escudero D
7 M. Krohn-Dehli M
16 Jesús Navas M
15 S. N'Zonzi M
19 Ganso M
11 J. Correa M
9 W. Ben Yedder F
Bench (7)
22 F. Vázquez
17 Pablo Sarabia
10 É. Banega
2 S. Corchia
5 C. Lenglet
13 David Soria
20 L. Muriel

Coach: E. Berizzo

Las Palmas

4-2-3-1
13 L. Chichizola G
16 Aythami Artiles
5 David García D
12 Míchel D
22 Ximo Navarro D
25 A. Aquilani M
21 Jonathan Viera M
20 Vitolo M
14 Hernán M
24 Tana M
9 J. Calleri F
Bench (7)
11 Momo
4 Vicente Gómez
19 H. Toledo
1 Raúl Lizoáin
3 M. Lemos
15 Borja Herrera
18 Javi Castellano

Coach: Manolo Márquez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.