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Serie A
Referee: Paolo Silvio Mazzoleni
Genoa
T U T T T
1–1
Full-time
Chievo
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Chievo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
0%
25%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genoa 16. · Chievo 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 5 4 1 0 +9 13
2 Napoli 4 4 0 0 +13 12
3 Juventus 4 4 0 0 +10 12
4 Lazio 4 3 1 0 +5 10
5 Roma 4 3 0 1 +6 9
6 Milan 4 3 0 1 +2 9
7 Torino 4 2 2 0 +4 8
8 Sampdoria 3 2 1 0 +2 7
9 Fiorentina 4 2 0 2 +2 6
10 Cagliari 4 2 0 2 -1 6
11 Bologna 5 1 2 2 -3 5
12 Atalanta 4 1 1 2 -2 4
13 Chievo 4 1 1 2 -3 4
14 Spal 4 1 1 2 -3 4
15 Udinese 4 1 0 3 -2 3
16 Genoa 4 0 1 3 -4 1
17 Sassuolo 4 0 1 3 -6 1
18 Crotone 4 0 1 3 -6 1
19 Verona 4 0 1 3 -10 1
20 Benevento 5 0 0 5 -13 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genoa Chievo
38′
🟨 Përparim Hetemaj
Pietro Pellegri 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
A. Taarabt 🔁
↦ D. Lazović
46′
A. Rosi 🔁
↦ P. Brlek
46′
52′
🔁 F. Depaoli
↦ S. Bastien
1–0 D. Laxalt
62′
67′
🔁 S. Pellissier
↦ D. Dainelli
L. Rigoni 🔁
↦ R. Palladino
71′
73′
P. Hetemaj 1–1
L. Castro
81′
🟨 Nenad Tomović
86′
🔁 L. Garritano
↦ V. Birsa
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Genoa

3-4-1-2
1 M. Perin G
13 L. Rossettini D
87 E. Zukanović D
14 D. Biraschi D
44 Miguel Veloso M
22 D. Lazović M
8 A. Bertolacci M
21 P. Brlek M
93 D. Laxalt M
17 R. Palladino F
64 P. Pellegri F
Bench (12)
11 A. Taarabt
20 A. Rosi
30 L. Rigoni
3 S. Gentiletti
4 I. Cofie
9 R. Centurión
16 A. Galabinov
18 F. Migliore
23 E. Lamanna
27 F. Ricci
40 S. Omeonga
74 E. Salcedo Mora

Coach: I. Juric

Chievo

4-3-1-2
70 S. Sorrentino G
5 A. Gamberini D
3 D. Dainelli D
40 N. Tomović D
29 F. Cacciatore D
23 V. Birsa M
56 P. Hetemaj M
8 I. Radovanović M
19 L. Castro M
77 S. Bastien M
45 R. Inglese F
Bench (12)
27 F. Depaoli
31 S. Pellissier
7 L. Garritano
2 P. Jaroszyński
4 N. Rigoni
9 M. Stępiński
11 M. Léris
12 B. Cesar
14 M. Bani
20 M. Pucciarelli
90 A. Seculin
98 A. Confente

Coach: R. Maran

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Paolo Silvio Mazzoleni · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.