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La Liga

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea

Valencia

T S T U T

3–0

Full-time

La Coruna

U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia La Coruna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,5

This season — La Liga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 25%

29%

21%

Points per game

1,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

68%

46%

Both score Ø 66%

71%

61%

Average goals

3,2

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

45% Possession 55%

14 Shots 13

8 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 14. · La Coruna 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	28	21	5	2	+46	68
2	Barcelona	28	19	6	3	+56	63
3	Ath Madrid	29	17	7	5	+31	58
4	Sevilla	29	17	7	5	+18	58
5	Sociedad	29	15	4	10	+3	49
6	Villarreal	29	13	9	7	+18	48
7	Ath Bilbao	29	14	5	10	+4	47
8	Eibar	29	12	8	9	+6	44
9	Espanol	29	11	10	8	+2	43
10	Alaves	29	10	10	9	-7	40
11	Celta	27	11	5	11	-5	38
12	Las Palmas	28	9	8	11	-1	35
13	Betis	29	8	7	14	-14	31
14	Valencia	28	8	6	14	-13	30
15	La Coruna	28	6	9	13	-12	27
16	Malaga	29	6	9	14	-14	27
17	Leganes	29	6	9	14	-19	27
18	Sp Gijon	29	5	7	17	-26	22
19	Granada	28	4	7	17	-33	19
20	Osasuna	29	1	8	20	-40	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	15	12	3	0	+25	39
2	Barcelona	14	10	3	1	+32	33
3	Sevilla	14	10	3	1	+13	33
4	Ath Bilbao	15	10	3	2	+11	33
5	Ath Madrid	14	10	2	2	+20	32
6	Las Palmas	15	8	5	2	+13	29
7	Villarreal	15	8	3	4	+12	27
8	Eibar	15	8	3	4	+6	27
9	Espanol	15	7	5	3	+8	26
10	Celta	13	8	1	4	+5	25
11	Sociedad	15	7	4	4	+2	25
12	Betis	15	5	6	4	+0	21
13	Malaga	14	6	2	6	+0	20
14	La Coruna	14	5	4	5	+4	19
15	Alaves	14	4	7	3	-5	19
16	Valencia	13	5	3	5	-4	18
17	Granada	13	4	4	5	+0	16
18	Leganes	14	3	5	6	-5	14
19	Sp Gijon	14	4	2	8	-11	14
20	Osasuna	15	0	5	10	-18	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	9	3	2	+24	30
2	Real Madrid	13	9	2	2	+21	29
3	Ath Madrid	15	7	5	3	+11	26
4	Sevilla	15	7	4	4	+5	25
5	Sociedad	14	8	0	6	+1	24
6	Villarreal	14	5	6	3	+6	21
7	Alaves	15	6	3	6	-2	21
8	Eibar	14	4	5	5	+0	17
9	Espanol	14	4	5	5	-6	17
10	Ath Bilbao	14	4	2	8	-7	14
11	Celta	14	3	4	7	-10	13
12	Leganes	15	3	4	8	-14	13
13	Valencia	15	3	3	9	-9	12
14	Betis	14	3	1	10	-14	10
15	Sp Gijon	15	1	5	9	-15	8
16	La Coruna	14	1	5	8	-16	8
17	Malaga	15	0	7	8	-14	7
18	Las Palmas	13	1	3	9	-14	6
19	Osasuna	14	1	3	10	-22	6
20	Granada	15	0	3	12	-33	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.