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Serie A

Referee: Daniele Orsato

Napoli

S T S S S

1–1

Full-time

Juventus

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Juventus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

2,2

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,5

This season — Serie A · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 75%

66%

83%

Points per game

2,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

69%

59%

Both score Ø 57%

66%

48%

Average goals

3,4

2,7

Scored

2,3

2,0

Conceded

1,1

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

17 Shots 4

4 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Napoli 3. · Juventus 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	29	24	1	4	+40	73
2	Roma	30	22	2	6	+40	68
3	Napoli	29	19	6	4	+36	63
4	Lazio	30	18	6	6	+21	60
5	Atalanta	30	18	4	8	+18	58
6	Inter	29	17	4	8	+24	55
7	Milan	30	16	6	8	+10	54
8	Fiorentina	30	14	9	7	+10	51
9	Torino	30	10	11	9	+6	41
10	Sampdoria	29	11	8	10	+1	41
11	Chievo	30	11	5	14	-8	38
12	Udinese	30	10	7	13	-2	37
13	Cagliari	30	10	5	15	-20	35
14	Bologna	30	9	7	14	-14	34
15	Sassuolo	30	9	4	17	-11	31
16	Genoa	30	7	8	15	-18	29
17	Empoli	30	5	7	18	-31	22
18	Crotone	30	4	5	21	-27	17
19	Palermo	30	3	6	21	-38	15
20	Pescara	30	2	7	21	-37	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	15	15	0	0	+30	45
2	Roma	15	14	0	1	+31	42
3	Napoli	15	10	3	2	+17	33
4	Inter	14	10	2	2	+22	32
5	Lazio	15	10	2	3	+14	32
6	Milan	15	10	2	3	+9	32
7	Atalanta	14	10	1	3	+11	31
8	Fiorentina	15	8	7	0	+10	31
9	Torino	15	8	6	1	+15	30
10	Sampdoria	15	8	4	3	+8	28
11	Cagliari	14	7	3	4	-2	24
12	Chievo	16	6	4	6	-1	22
13	Udinese	15	6	3	6	+3	21
14	Bologna	15	6	2	7	-3	20
15	Genoa	15	4	6	5	-1	18
16	Sassuolo	15	5	1	9	-6	16
17	Empoli	15	4	3	8	-12	15
18	Crotone	15	3	3	9	-8	12
19	Pescara	15	1	5	9	-15	8
20	Palermo	15	1	2	12	-21	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	14	9	3	2	+19	30
2	Juventus	14	9	1	4	+10	28
3	Lazio	15	8	4	3	+7	28
4	Atalanta	16	8	3	5	+7	27
5	Roma	15	8	2	5	+9	26
6	Inter	15	7	2	6	+2	23
7	Milan	15	6	4	5	+1	22
8	Fiorentina	15	6	2	7	+0	20
9	Udinese	15	4	4	7	-5	16
10	Chievo	14	5	1	8	-7	16
11	Sassuolo	15	4	3	8	-5	15
12	Bologna	15	3	5	7	-11	14
13	Sampdoria	14	3	4	7	-7	13
14	Torino	15	2	5	8	-9	11
15	Genoa	15	3	2	10	-17	11
16	Cagliari	16	3	2	11	-18	11
17	Palermo	15	2	4	9	-17	10
18	Empoli	15	1	4	10	-19	7
19	Crotone	15	1	2	12	-19	5
20	Pescara	15	1	2	12	-22	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.