La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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La Coruna
Betis
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | +55 | 60 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | +41 | 59 |
| 3 |
Sevilla
|
26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | +20 | 56 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | +26 | 49 |
| 5 |
Sociedad
|
26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | +6 | 48 |
| 6 |
Villarreal
|
26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | +19 | 45 |
| 7 |
Ath Bilbao
|
26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | +2 | 41 |
| 8 |
Eibar
|
26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | +5 | 39 |
| 9 |
Espanol
|
26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | +0 | 36 |
| 10 |
Celta
|
25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 35 |
| 11 |
Alaves
|
26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | -6 | 34 |
| 12 |
Las Palmas
|
26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | -1 | 32 |
| 13 |
Valencia
|
26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | -11 | 29 |
| 14 |
Betis
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | -14 | 27 |
| 15 |
Malaga
|
26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -11 | 26 |
| 16 |
Leganes
|
26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -19 | 24 |
| 17 |
La Coruna
|
25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -12 | 23 |
| 18 |
Granada
|
26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -30 | 19 |
| 19 |
Sp Gijon
|
26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -28 | 17 |
| 20 |
Osasuna
|
26 | 1 | 7 | 18 | -37 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Coach: Pepe Mel
A. Mandi
D
Dani Ceballos
M
Coach: Víctor Sánchez
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sp Gijon
La Coruna
La Coruna
Ath Madrid
Leganes
La Coruna
La Coruna
Alaves
Ath Bilbao
La Coruna
Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo · 53 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.