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La Liga
Referee: Inaki Vicandi Garrido
Sevilla
S S U U T
0–0
Full-time
Sp Gijon
U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,2
This season — La Liga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 40%
61%
18%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
61%
68%
Both score Ø 70%
68%
71%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
1,9
1,1
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

70% Possession 30%
18 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sevilla 4. · Sp Gijon 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 27 20 5 2 +43 65
2 Barcelona 28 19 6 3 +56 63
3 Ath Madrid 29 17 7 5 +31 58
4 Sevilla 28 17 6 5 +18 57
5 Sociedad 29 15 4 10 +3 49
6 Villarreal 29 13 9 7 +18 48
7 Ath Bilbao 29 14 5 10 +4 47
8 Eibar 29 12 8 9 +6 44
9 Espanol 29 11 10 8 +2 43
10 Alaves 28 10 10 8 -4 40
11 Celta 27 11 5 11 -5 38
12 Las Palmas 28 9 8 11 -1 35
13 Betis 29 8 7 14 -14 31
14 Valencia 28 8 6 14 -13 30
15 La Coruna 28 6 9 13 -12 27
16 Malaga 29 6 9 14 -14 27
17 Leganes 29 6 9 14 -19 27
18 Sp Gijon 28 5 6 17 -26 21
19 Granada 28 4 7 17 -33 19
20 Osasuna 29 1 8 20 -40 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sevilla Sp Gijon
34′
🟨 Mikel Vesga
Half-time 0–0
58′
🟨 Lillo Castellano
Nicolás Pareja 🟨
59′
Iborra 🔁
↦ W. Ben Yedder
60′
S. Jovetić 🔁
↦ M. Kranevitter
60′
61′
🟨 Fernando Amorebieta
67′
🔁 Juan Rodríguez
↦ F. Amorebieta
72′
🔁 L. Traoré
↦ Carlos Castro
Samir Nasri 🟨
75′
78′
🟨 Xavi Torres
L. Vietto 🔁
↦ J. Correa
81′
81′
🔁 Isma López
↦ Burgui
Mariano 🟨
83′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Sevilla

4-2-3-1
1 Sergio Rico G
21 N. Pareja
3 Mariano D
5 C. Lenglet D
10 S. Nasri M
15 S. N'Zonzi M
17 Pablo Sarabia M
20 Vitolo M
11 J. Correa M
4 M. Kranevitter M
12 W. Ben Yedder F
Bench (7)
8 Iborra
16 S. Jovetić
9 L. Vietto
6 Daniel Carriço
13 David Soria
19 Ganso
22 F. Vázquez

Coach: J. Sampaoli

Sp Gijon

4-3-3
1 Pichu Cuéllar G
5 F. Amorebieta D
15 Canella D
3 J. Babin D
16 Lillo Castellano D
21 Xavi Torres M
6 Sergio Álvarez M
22 Mikel Vesga M
19 Carlos Carmona M
9 Carlos Castro F
14 Burgui M
Bench (7)
29 Juan Rodríguez
8 L. Traoré
18 Isma López
10 Nacho Cases
11 Lora
13 Diego Mariño
20 D. N'Di

Coach: Rubí

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Inaki Vicandi Garrido · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
14,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.