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La Liga
Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera
La Coruna
T U S U S
0–1
Full-time
Celta
S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

La Coruna Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 27/26 matches
Win Ø 30%
22%
38%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
48%
65%
Both score Ø 57%
63%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
9 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
21 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match La Coruna 15. · Celta 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 27 20 5 2 +43 65
2 Barcelona 27 18 6 3 +54 60
3 Sevilla 28 17 6 5 +18 57
4 Ath Madrid 28 16 7 5 +29 55
5 Villarreal 28 13 9 6 +19 48
6 Sociedad 28 15 3 10 +3 48
7 Ath Bilbao 28 13 5 10 +3 44
8 Eibar 28 11 8 9 +5 41
9 Espanol 28 10 10 8 +1 40
10 Alaves 28 10 10 8 -4 40
11 Las Palmas 28 9 8 11 -1 35
12 Celta 26 10 5 11 -6 35
13 Betis 28 8 7 13 -13 31
14 Valencia 27 8 6 13 -11 30
15 La Coruna 27 6 9 12 -11 27
16 Malaga 28 6 9 13 -12 27
17 Leganes 28 6 8 14 -19 26
18 Granada 27 4 7 16 -31 19
19 Sp Gijon 27 4 6 17 -28 18
20 Osasuna 28 1 8 19 -39 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

La Coruna Celta
12′
🔁 C. Beauvue
↦ J. Guidetti
14′
🟨 Gustavo Cabral
Half-time 0–0
Luisinho 🟨
56′
Carles Gil 🔁
↦ Bruno Gama
60′
65′
🟨 Hugo Mallo
F. Andone 🔁
↦ Joselu
66′
71′
🔁 P. Sisto
↦ T. Bongonda
74′
Iago Aspas 0–1
C. Beauvue
Germán Lux 🟨
75′
E. Çolak 🔁
↦ F. Fajr
77′
Pedro Mosquera 🟨
80′
83′
🟨 Pablo Hernández
86′
🟨 Pione Sisto
87′
🔁 Jozabed
↦ D. Wass
Emre Çolak 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

La Coruna

4-2-3-1
1 G. Lux G
16 Luisinho D
14 Alejandro Arribas D
6 Albentosa D
21 Bruno Gama M
22 C. Borges M
4 Álex Bergantiños M
5 Pedro Mosquera M
19 F. Fajr M
2 Juanfran D
7 Joselu F
Bench (7)
11 Carles Gil
10 F. Andone
8 E. Çolak
13 P. Tytoń
15 Laure
20 Guilherme
23 G. Kakuta

Coach: Pepe Mel

Celta

4-2-3-1
1 Sergio Álvarez G
24 F. Roncaglia D
22 G. Cabral D
2 Hugo Mallo D
19 Jonny Castro D
18 D. Wass M
8 P. Hernández M
6 N. Radoja M
10 Iago Aspas F
9 J. Guidetti F
7 T. Bongonda M
Bench (7)
12 C. Beauvue
11 P. Sisto
16 Jozabed
3 Fontàs
20 Sergi Gómez
25 G. Rossi
27 Iván Villar

Coach: E. Berizzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Juan Martinez Munuera · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.