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La Liga

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea

Osasuna

T T U U T

1–1

Full-time

Malaga

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

4,0

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

2,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

This season — La Liga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 16%

26%

Points per game

0,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

58%

Both score Ø 66%

63%

68%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

1,1

1,4

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

14 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 6

4 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Osasuna 20. · Malaga 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	18	13	4	1	+31	43
2	Sevilla	19	13	3	3	+17	42
3	Barcelona	19	12	5	2	+34	41
4	Ath Madrid	19	10	5	4	+18	35
5	Sociedad	19	11	2	6	+6	35
6	Villarreal	19	8	7	4	+12	31
7	Ath Bilbao	19	8	5	6	+3	29
8	Celta	19	8	3	8	-4	27
9	Espanol	19	6	8	5	-1	26
10	Eibar	19	7	5	7	-3	26
11	Las Palmas	19	6	7	6	-2	25
12	Alaves	19	5	8	6	-3	23
13	Betis	19	6	4	9	-10	22
14	Malaga	19	5	6	8	-6	21
15	Valencia	18	5	4	9	-5	19
16	La Coruna	19	4	7	8	-5	19
17	Leganes	19	4	6	9	-16	18
18	Sp Gijon	19	3	4	12	-18	13
19	Granada	19	1	7	11	-26	10
20	Osasuna	19	1	6	12	-22	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	10	8	2	0	+16	26
2	Sevilla	9	8	0	1	+10	24
3	Ath Bilbao	10	6	3	1	+7	21
4	Celta	10	7	0	3	+3	21
5	Ath Madrid	9	6	2	1	+13	20
6	Villarreal	10	6	2	2	+10	20
7	Las Palmas	10	5	5	0	+9	20
8	Sociedad	10	6	2	2	+4	20
9	Barcelona	9	5	3	1	+16	18
10	Malaga	9	5	2	2	+4	17
11	Eibar	10	5	2	3	+0	17
12	Betis	10	4	4	2	+0	16
13	La Coruna	9	4	2	3	+5	14
14	Espanol	10	3	5	2	+2	14
15	Alaves	9	2	5	2	-1	11
16	Sp Gijon	9	3	1	5	-7	10
17	Valencia	8	2	2	4	-4	8
18	Granada	9	1	4	4	-4	7
19	Leganes	9	1	4	4	-6	7
20	Osasuna	10	0	3	7	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	7	2	1	+18	23
2	Sevilla	10	5	3	2	+7	18
3	Real Madrid	8	5	2	1	+15	17
4	Ath Madrid	10	4	3	3	+5	15
5	Sociedad	9	5	0	4	+2	15
6	Alaves	10	3	3	4	-2	12
7	Espanol	9	3	3	3	-3	12
8	Villarreal	9	2	5	2	+2	11
9	Valencia	10	3	2	5	-1	11
10	Leganes	10	3	2	5	-10	11
11	Eibar	9	2	3	4	-3	9
12	Ath Bilbao	9	2	2	5	-4	8
13	Celta	9	1	3	5	-7	6
14	Osasuna	9	1	3	5	-10	6
15	Betis	9	2	0	7	-10	6
16	La Coruna	10	0	5	5	-10	5
17	Las Palmas	9	1	2	6	-11	5
18	Malaga	10	0	4	6	-10	4
19	Sp Gijon	10	0	3	7	-11	3
20	Granada	10	0	3	7	-22	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.