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La Liga

Referee: Inaki Vicandi Garrido

Villarreal

U U T S U

1–1

Full-time

Malaga

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,5

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,7

2,8

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

0,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,5

This season — La Liga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 34%

43%

24%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

33%

52%

Both score Ø 53%

38%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%

12 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 9

1 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 5

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 6. · Malaga 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	20	15	4	1	+36	49
2	Barcelona	22	14	6	2	+43	48
3	Sevilla	21	13	4	4	+15	43
4	Sociedad	22	13	2	7	+5	41
5	Ath Madrid	21	11	6	4	+20	39
6	Villarreal	21	9	8	4	+14	35
7	Ath Bilbao	22	10	5	7	+2	35
8	Eibar	21	9	5	7	+3	32
9	Espanol	22	8	8	6	+1	32
10	Celta	20	9	3	8	-2	30
11	Las Palmas	21	7	7	7	-1	28
12	Alaves	22	6	9	7	-7	27
13	Betis	21	6	6	9	-10	24
14	Malaga	21	5	7	9	-7	22
15	Valencia	21	5	5	11	-11	20
16	La Coruna	21	4	7	10	-8	19
17	Leganes	21	4	6	11	-20	18
18	Sp Gijon	21	3	4	14	-21	13
19	Granada	21	2	7	12	-27	13
20	Osasuna	22	1	7	14	-25	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	11	9	2	0	+19	29
2	Ath Bilbao	12	8	3	1	+9	27
3	Sevilla	10	8	1	1	+10	25
4	Ath Madrid	10	7	2	1	+15	23
5	Villarreal	11	7	2	2	+12	23
6	Las Palmas	11	6	5	0	+11	23
7	Sociedad	11	7	2	2	+5	23
8	Barcelona	10	6	3	1	+19	21
9	Celta	10	7	0	3	+3	21
10	Eibar	11	6	2	3	+2	20
11	Betis	12	4	6	2	+0	18
12	Espanol	12	4	5	3	+3	17
13	Malaga	10	5	2	3	+3	17
14	La Coruna	9	4	2	3	+5	14
15	Alaves	11	2	6	3	-7	12
16	Granada	10	2	4	4	-3	10
17	Sp Gijon	10	3	1	6	-9	10
18	Valencia	9	2	2	5	-8	8
19	Leganes	10	1	4	5	-8	7
20	Osasuna	12	0	4	8	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	8	3	1	+24	27
2	Real Madrid	9	6	2	1	+17	20
3	Sevilla	11	5	3	3	+5	18
4	Sociedad	11	6	0	5	+0	18
5	Ath Madrid	11	4	4	3	+5	16
6	Alaves	11	4	3	4	+0	15
7	Espanol	10	4	3	3	-2	15
8	Villarreal	10	2	6	2	+2	12
9	Eibar	10	3	3	4	+1	12
10	Valencia	12	3	3	6	-3	12
11	Leganes	11	3	2	6	-12	11
12	Celta	10	2	3	5	-5	9
13	Ath Bilbao	10	2	2	6	-7	8
14	Betis	9	2	0	7	-10	6
15	Osasuna	10	1	3	6	-11	6
16	Malaga	11	0	5	6	-10	5
17	Las Palmas	10	1	2	7	-12	5
18	La Coruna	12	0	5	7	-13	5
19	Sp Gijon	11	0	3	8	-12	3
20	Granada	11	0	3	8	-24	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.