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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Del Cerro Grande

Villarreal

S S S U U

1–0

Full-time

Granada

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Granada

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

4,2

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

0,5

3,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,8

This season — La Liga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 41%

57%

24%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

43%

62%

Both score Ø 58%

48%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

0,9

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

12 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 0

5 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 4. · Granada 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	21	16	3	2	+37	51
2	Ath Madrid	22	15	3	4	+21	48
3	Real Madrid	21	13	5	3	+38	44
4	Villarreal	21	12	5	4	+10	41
5	Ath Bilbao	22	10	4	8	+3	34
6	Celta	21	10	4	7	-1	34
7	Eibar	22	9	6	7	+7	33
8	Sevilla	21	9	6	6	+6	33
9	La Coruna	21	6	11	4	+3	29
10	Malaga	22	7	6	9	-2	27
11	Getafe	22	7	5	10	-6	26
12	Valencia	21	5	10	6	+4	25
13	Espanol	21	6	4	11	-15	22
14	Betis	21	5	7	9	-15	22
15	Sociedad	21	5	6	10	-9	21
16	Granada	21	5	5	11	-19	20
17	Vallecano	21	5	4	12	-19	19
18	Las Palmas	21	4	6	11	-12	18
19	Sp Gijon	20	5	3	12	-13	18
20	Levante	21	4	5	12	-18	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	11	1	0	+32	34
2	Real Madrid	11	9	1	1	+29	28
3	Sevilla	11	9	0	2	+12	27
4	Villarreal	11	8	2	1	+10	26
5	Ath Madrid	10	7	2	1	+7	23
6	Getafe	12	6	3	3	+9	21
7	Eibar	12	6	3	3	+7	21
8	Ath Bilbao	10	6	2	2	+11	20
9	Celta	11	5	2	4	+0	17
10	Valencia	10	3	7	0	+7	16
11	Espanol	10	4	4	2	-2	16
12	Malaga	10	4	3	3	+4	15
13	Las Palmas	11	4	3	4	+0	15
14	La Coruna	10	3	5	2	+5	14
15	Vallecano	11	4	2	5	-2	14
16	Sociedad	10	3	3	4	-1	12
17	Levante	11	3	3	5	-5	12
18	Sp Gijon	9	3	2	4	+1	11
19	Granada	10	3	2	5	-7	11
20	Betis	10	1	4	5	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	12	8	1	3	+14	25
2	Barcelona	9	5	2	2	+5	17
3	Celta	10	5	2	3	-1	17
4	Real Madrid	10	4	4	2	+9	16
5	Villarreal	10	4	3	3	+0	15
6	La Coruna	11	3	6	2	-2	15
7	Betis	11	4	3	4	-6	15
8	Ath Bilbao	12	4	2	6	-8	14
9	Eibar	10	3	3	4	+0	12
10	Malaga	12	3	3	6	-6	12
11	Valencia	11	2	3	6	-3	9
12	Sociedad	11	2	3	6	-8	9
13	Granada	11	2	3	6	-12	9
14	Sp Gijon	11	2	1	8	-14	7
15	Sevilla	10	0	6	4	-6	6
16	Espanol	11	2	0	9	-13	6
17	Levante	10	1	2	7	-13	5
18	Getafe	10	1	2	7	-15	5
19	Vallecano	10	1	2	7	-17	5
20	Las Palmas	10	0	3	7	-12	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.