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La Liga

Referee: Alberto Undiano

La Coruna

T S U T U

1–2

Full-time

Leganes

S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

La Coruna Leganes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 29%

33%

25%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,3

2,5

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

1,0

2,5

Scored

0,5

0,8

Conceded

0,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%

12 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 1

0 Offside 4

20 Free kicks against 18

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match La Coruna 12. · Leganes 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Sevilla	5	3	2	0	+4	11
3	Barcelona	5	3	1	1	+8	10
4	Ath Madrid	5	2	3	0	+9	9
5	Las Palmas	5	3	0	2	+3	9
6	Villarreal	5	2	3	0	+3	9
7	Ath Bilbao	5	3	0	2	+1	9
8	Sociedad	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Eibar	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Sp Gijon	5	2	1	2	-4	7
11	Alaves	4	1	3	0	+1	6
12	La Coruna	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Malaga	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Betis	5	1	2	2	-4	5
15	Leganes	4	1	1	2	-4	4
16	Celta	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	Espanol	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Osasuna	4	0	2	2	-5	2
19	Granada	5	0	2	3	-6	2
20	Valencia	4	0	0	4	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Las Palmas	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+5	4
6	Barcelona	3	1	1	1	+3	4
7	Eibar	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Malaga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	La Coruna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Celta	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Betis	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Alaves	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Granada	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Osasuna	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Leganes	2	0	1	1	-4	1
20	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Ath Bilbao	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Ath Madrid	3	1	2	0	+4	5
5	Villarreal	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Sociedad	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Eibar	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	Las Palmas	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	Betis	3	1	0	2	-4	3
12	Sevilla	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	La Coruna	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Malaga	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Celta	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Osasuna	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Granada	2	0	1	1	-4	1
19	Sp Gijon	3	0	1	2	-6	1
20	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.