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LaLiga2

Vallecano

T U S S S

0–1

Full-time

Lugo

U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 41/41 matches

Win Ø 35%

46%

24%

Points per game

1,6

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

41%

34%

Both score Ø 47%

44%

49%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,3

0,9

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

23 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 5

12 Corners 1

10 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vallecano 6. · Lugo 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	41	24	10	7	+44	82
2	Mallorca	41	24	9	8	+26	81
3	Almeria	41	20	10	11	+19	70
4	Leganes	41	20	10	11	+14	70
5	Girona	41	20	10	11	+11	70
6	Vallecano	41	19	10	12	+13	67
7	Sp Gijon	41	17	14	10	+11	65
8	Ponferradina	41	15	11	15	-5	56
9	Fuenlabrada	42	12	18	12	-1	54
10	Mirandes	41	14	12	15	-1	54
11	Las Palmas	41	13	14	14	-8	53
12	Tenerife	42	13	13	16	+0	52
13	Oviedo	42	11	19	12	-1	52
14	Malaga	41	13	11	17	-13	50
15	Zaragoza	41	12	12	17	-4	48
16	Cartagena	41	12	12	17	-8	48
17	Alcorcon	41	12	10	19	-8	46
18	Lugo	41	10	14	17	-16	44
19	Logrones	41	11	11	19	-24	44
20	Sabadell	41	10	13	18	-10	43
21	Castellon	41	11	8	22	-16	41
22	Albacete	42	9	11	22	-23	38

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	21	15	3	3	+29	48
2	Leganes	21	15	3	3	+16	48
3	Mallorca	21	14	3	4	+21	45
4	Sp Gijon	20	11	7	2	+12	40
5	Girona	21	12	4	5	+10	40
6	Almeria	21	10	8	3	+16	38
7	Las Palmas	21	11	5	5	+11	38
8	Vallecano	20	11	4	5	+12	37
9	Tenerife	21	9	7	5	+10	34
10	Zaragoza	20	9	7	4	+8	34
11	Ponferradina	20	9	6	5	+3	33
12	Lugo	21	8	8	5	+4	32
13	Cartagena	20	8	6	6	+4	30
14	Oviedo	21	7	8	6	+4	29
15	Mirandes	20	6	10	4	+3	28
16	Castellon	21	9	1	11	+1	28
17	Alcorcon	20	8	3	9	-1	27
18	Logrones	20	7	4	9	-8	25
19	Fuenlabrada	21	4	12	5	+1	24
20	Sabadell	21	5	9	7	-1	24
21	Malaga	20	5	7	8	-5	22
22	Albacete	21	5	6	10	-7	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	20	10	6	4	+5	36
2	Espanol	20	9	7	4	+15	34
3	Almeria	20	10	2	8	+3	32
4	Girona	20	8	6	6	+1	30
5	Vallecano	21	8	6	7	+1	30
6	Fuenlabrada	21	8	6	7	-2	30
7	Malaga	21	8	4	9	-8	28
8	Mirandes	21	8	2	11	-4	26
9	Sp Gijon	21	6	7	8	-1	25
10	Oviedo	21	4	11	6	-5	23
11	Ponferradina	21	6	5	10	-8	23
12	Leganes	20	5	7	8	-2	22
13	Alcorcon	21	4	7	10	-7	19
14	Sabadell	20	5	4	11	-9	19
15	Logrones	21	4	7	10	-16	19
16	Tenerife	21	4	6	11	-10	18
17	Cartagena	21	4	6	11	-12	18
18	Albacete	21	4	5	12	-16	17
19	Las Palmas	20	2	9	9	-19	15
20	Zaragoza	21	3	5	13	-12	14
21	Castellon	20	2	7	11	-17	13
22	Lugo	20	2	6	12	-20	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.