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Bundesliga

Referee: Robert Schroder

Freiburg

U U U S T

2–1

Full-time

Hertha

T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Hertha

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 32%

25%

38%

Points per game

1,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

50%

58%

Both score Ø 61%

63%

58%

Average goals

3,1

3,0

Scored

1,4

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%

9 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Freiburg 13. · Hertha 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	24	16	6	2	+31	54
2	Bayern Munich	24	17	3	4	+29	54
3	RB Leipzig	24	13	6	5	+23	45
4	M'gladbach	24	13	4	7	+13	43
5	Ein Frankfurt	24	11	7	6	+17	40
6	Leverkusen	24	12	3	9	+8	39
7	Wolfsburg	24	11	6	7	+8	39
8	Werder Bremen	25	9	9	7	+6	36
9	Hertha	24	9	8	7	+3	35
10	Hoffenheim	24	8	10	6	+11	34
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	24	9	4	11	-11	31
12	Mainz	24	8	6	10	-11	30
13	Freiburg	24	6	9	9	-6	27
14	Schalke 04	25	6	5	14	-16	23
15	Augsburg	24	5	6	13	-12	21
16	Stuttgart	24	5	4	15	-28	19
17	Hannover	24	3	5	16	-34	14
18	Nurnberg	24	2	7	15	-31	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	12	10	2	0	+23	32
2	M'gladbach	12	9	0	3	+12	27
3	RB Leipzig	12	7	4	1	+17	25
4	Bayern Munich	11	7	3	1	+11	24
5	Leverkusen	12	7	1	4	+4	22
6	Ein Frankfurt	12	6	3	3	+11	21
7	Werder Bremen	13	5	5	3	+5	20
8	Hertha	12	5	5	2	+3	20
9	Mainz	12	5	4	3	+1	19
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	6	0	6	-1	18
11	Hoffenheim	12	4	5	3	+6	17
12	Freiburg	12	4	5	3	+4	17
13	Wolfsburg	12	4	4	4	-1	16
14	Stuttgart	12	4	2	6	-8	14
15	Augsburg	12	3	4	5	+1	13
16	Schalke 04	12	4	1	7	-7	13
17	Nurnberg	13	2	5	6	-5	11
18	Hannover	12	3	1	8	-12	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	10	0	3	+18	30
2	Wolfsburg	12	7	2	3	+9	23
3	Dortmund	12	6	4	2	+8	22
4	RB Leipzig	12	6	2	4	+6	20
5	Ein Frankfurt	12	5	4	3	+6	19
6	Hoffenheim	12	4	5	3	+5	17
7	Leverkusen	12	5	2	5	+4	17
8	M'gladbach	12	4	4	4	+1	16
9	Werder Bremen	12	4	4	4	+1	16
10	Hertha	12	4	3	5	+0	15
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	3	4	5	-10	13
12	Mainz	12	3	2	7	-12	11
13	Schalke 04	13	2	4	7	-9	10
14	Freiburg	12	2	4	6	-10	10
15	Augsburg	12	2	2	8	-13	8
16	Stuttgart	12	1	2	9	-20	5
17	Hannover	12	0	4	8	-22	4
18	Nurnberg	11	0	2	9	-26	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.