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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Zwayer
Wolfsburg
U T T S T
0–6
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,5
This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 50%
30%
70%
Points per game
1,1
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
57%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,4
Conceded
1,4
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

39% Possession 61%
7 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
4 Offside 5
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 14. · Bayern Munich 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 30 21 7 2 +56 70
2 RB Leipzig 31 19 6 6 +25 63
3 Dortmund 31 16 9 6 +30 57
4 Hoffenheim 30 14 13 3 +25 55
5 Hertha 31 14 4 13 +1 46
6 Werder Bremen 31 13 6 12 +1 45
7 Freiburg 31 13 5 13 -17 44
8 FC Koln 31 10 12 9 +6 42
9 M'gladbach 31 12 6 13 -4 42
10 Schalke 04 31 11 8 12 +7 41
11 Ein Frankfurt 30 11 8 11 -2 41
12 Leverkusen 31 10 6 15 -6 36
13 Mainz 31 9 6 16 -11 33
14 Wolfsburg 30 9 6 15 -13 33
15 Hamburg 30 9 6 15 -25 33
16 Augsburg 30 8 8 14 -20 32
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 31 8 5 18 -21 29
18 Darmstadt 31 7 3 21 -32 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Bayern Munich
Luiz Gustavo 🟨
19′
19′
D. Alaba 0–1
36′
R. Lewandowski 0–2
T. Müller
45′
R. Lewandowski 0–3
K. Coman
Half-time 0–3
Vieirinha 🔁
↦ J. Błaszczykowski
46′
66′
A. Robben 0–4
P. Seguin 🔁
↦ R. Rodríguez
67′
68′
🔁 Juan Bernat
↦ M. Hummels
71′
🔁 Rafinha
↦ P. Lahm
75′
🔁 Renato Sanches
↦ Thiago Alcântara
Luiz Gustavo 🟨
78′
Luiz Gustavo 🟥
78′
P. Ntep 🔁
↦ D. Didavi
79′
80′
T. Müller 0–5
85′
J. Kimmich 0–6
A. Robben
Full-time 0–6

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-1-4-1
28 K. Casteels G
34 R. Rodríguez D
31 R. Knoche D
21 J. Horn D
22 Luiz Gustavo M
14 J. Błaszczykowski M
11 D. Didavi M
27 M. Arnold M
6 R. Bazoer M
13 Y. Gerhardt M
33 M. Gómez F
Bench (7)
8 Vieirinha
30 P. Seguin
9 P. Ntep
1 D. Benaglio
2 P. Wollscheid
15 C. Träsch
24 S. Jung

Coach: A. Jonker

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
26 S. Ulreich G
21 P. Lahm D
5 M. Hummels D
27 D. Alaba D
10 A. Robben M
8 Javi Martínez M
6 Thiago Alcântara M
32 J. Kimmich D
25 T. Müller M
9 R. Lewandowski F
29 K. Coman M
Bench (7)
18 Juan Bernat
13 Rafinha
35 Renato Sanches
7 F. Ribéry
11 Douglas Costa
22 T. Starke
23 A. Vidal

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Felix Zwayer · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.