Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Huddersfield
Everton
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Man City
|
34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | +73 | 90 |
| 2 |
Man United
|
34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | +39 | 74 |
| 3 |
Liverpool
|
36 | 20 | 12 | 4 | +43 | 72 |
| 4 |
Tottenham
|
34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | +35 | 68 |
| 5 |
Chelsea
|
34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | +25 | 63 |
| 6 |
Arsenal
|
34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | +20 | 57 |
| 7 |
Burnley
|
35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | +3 | 53 |
| 8 |
Everton
|
35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | -14 | 45 |
| 9 |
Leicester
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | +2 | 44 |
| 10 |
Newcastle
|
34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | -8 | 41 |
| 11 |
Bournemouth
|
35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | -17 | 38 |
| 12 |
Watford
|
35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | -18 | 38 |
| 13 |
Brighton
|
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | -15 | 36 |
| 14 |
Crystal Palace
|
35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | -18 | 35 |
| 15 |
West Ham
|
34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -21 | 35 |
| 16 |
Huddersfield
|
34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | -27 | 35 |
| 17 |
Swansea
|
34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | -24 | 33 |
| 18 |
Stoke
|
36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -33 | 30 |
| 19 |
Southampton
|
34 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |
West Brom
|
35 | 4 | 13 | 18 | -25 | 25 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Huddersfield
Watford
Brighton
Huddersfield
Newcastle
Huddersfield
Huddersfield
Crystal Palace
Huddersfield
Swansea
Lee Probert · 55 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.