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Bundesliga
Referee: Frank Willenborg
Leverkusen
S T S S T
0–0
Full-time
Augsburg
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 39%
44%
33%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
56%
56%
Both score Ø 58%
59%
56%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%
18 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
3 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leverkusen 5. · Augsburg 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 27 21 3 3 +46 66
2 Schalke 04 27 14 7 6 +11 49
3 Dortmund 27 13 9 5 +21 48
4 Ein Frankfurt 27 13 6 8 +8 45
5 Leverkusen 27 12 8 7 +12 44
6 RB Leipzig 27 12 7 8 +5 43
7 Hoffenheim 27 10 9 8 +5 39
8 Stuttgart 27 11 4 12 -5 37
9 M'gladbach 27 10 6 11 -6 36
10 Augsburg 27 9 8 10 +1 35
11 Hertha 27 8 11 8 +0 35
12 Werder Bremen 27 8 9 10 -2 33
13 Hannover 27 8 8 11 -6 32
14 Freiburg 27 6 12 9 -18 30
15 Wolfsburg 27 4 13 10 -9 25
16 Mainz 27 6 7 14 -17 25
17 FC Koln 27 5 5 17 -22 20
18 Hamburg 27 4 6 17 -24 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leverkusen Augsburg
39′
🔁 S. Córdova
↦ D. Baier
40′
🟨 Jan Moravek
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Philipp Max
K. Havertz 🔁
↦ D. Kohr
69′
71′
🔁 C. Janker
↦ M. Gregoritsch
S. Kießling 🔁
↦ J. Baumgartlinger
77′
B. Henrichs 🔁
↦ P. Retsos
77′
77′
🔁 M. Richter
↦ J. Morávek
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
1 B. Leno G
5 S. Bender D
18 Wendell D
4 J. Tah D
3 P. Retsos D
20 C. Aránguiz M
15 J. Baumgartlinger M
21 D. Kohr M
31 K. Volland F
10 J. Brandt M
9 L. Bailey M
Bench (7)
29 K. Havertz
11 S. Kießling
39 B. Henrichs
16 T. Jedvaj
28 R. Özcan
37 M. Frey
38 K. Bellarabi

Coach: H. Herrlich

Augsburg

3-4-1-2
35 M. Hitz G
36 M. Hinteregger D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
31 P. Max D
10 D. Baier M
30 Caiuby M
14 J. Morávek M
17 J. Schmid M
19 Koo Ja-Cheol M
11 M. Gregoritsch M
8 R. Khedira M
Bench (7)
21 S. Córdova
16 C. Janker
23 M. Richter
1 A. Luthe
7 M. Heller
9 S. Parker
26 S. Asta

Coach: M. Baum

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Frank Willenborg · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.