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Bundesliga
Referee: Sören Storks
Hertha
T U S U T
2–1
Full-time
FC Koln
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,2
3,7
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
0,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 23%
28%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
34%
55%
Both score Ø 54%
55%
52%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
12 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 8
1 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 11. · FC Koln 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 29 23 3 3 +55 72
2 Schalke 04 29 15 7 7 +12 52
3 Dortmund 29 14 9 6 +18 51
4 Leverkusen 29 13 9 7 +15 48
5 Ein Frankfurt 29 13 7 9 +7 46
6 RB Leipzig 29 13 7 9 +3 46
7 Hoffenheim 29 11 10 8 +11 43
8 M'gladbach 29 11 7 11 -5 40
9 Stuttgart 29 11 5 13 -8 38
10 Augsburg 30 9 10 11 -2 37
11 Hertha 29 8 12 9 -1 36
12 Werder Bremen 29 9 9 11 -2 36
13 Hannover 29 9 8 12 -6 35
14 Wolfsburg 30 5 15 10 -7 30
15 Freiburg 29 6 12 11 -22 30
16 Mainz 29 6 9 14 -17 27
17 Hamburg 29 5 7 17 -23 22
18 FC Koln 29 5 6 18 -28 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha FC Koln
22′
🔁 J. Córdoba
↦ S. Zoller
29′
L. Bittencourt 0–1
J. Córdoba
35′
🟨 Christian Clemens
Half-time 0–1
M. Leckie 🔁
↦ M. Weiser
46′
1–1 D. Selke
49′
51′
🟨 Jorge Meré
2–1 D. Selke
M. Plattenhardt
52′
O. Duda 🔁
↦ V. Ibišević
66′
66′
🔁 M. Risse
↦ C. Pizarro
75′
🔁 S. Terodde
↦ C. Clemens
J. Schieber 🔁
↦ S. Kalou
76′
Davie Selke 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Marcel Risse
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-2-2
22 R. Jarstein G
21 M. Plattenhardt D
4 K. Rekik D
5 N. Stark D
8 S. Kalou M
3 P. Skjelbred M
6 V. Darida M
23 M. Weiser D
20 V. Lazaro M
19 V. Ibišević F
27 D. Selke F
Bench (7)
11 M. Leckie
10 O. Duda
16 J. Schieber
1 T. Kraft
2 P. Pekarík
26 A. Maier
29 F. Baak

Coach: P. Dárdai

FC Koln

4-1-4-1
1 T. Horn G
4 F. Sørensen D
3 D. Heintz D
22 Jorge Meré D
17 C. Clemens M
6 M. Höger M
14 J. Hector M
21 L. Bittencourt M
39 C. Pizarro F
11 S. Zoller F
13 Y. Ōsako F
Bench (7)
15 J. Córdoba
7 M. Risse
9 S. Terodde
8 M. Jojić
18 T. Kessler
33 M. Lehmann
41 V. Koziello

Coach: S. Ruthenbeck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sören Storks · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.