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Bundesliga

Referee: Manuel Gräfe

Werder Bremen

T U S S T

1–1

Full-time

Mainz

T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 37%

27%

46%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

69%

54%

Both score Ø 58%

69%

46%

Average goals

3,4

2,5

Scored

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%

11 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 5

2 Offside 4

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Werder Bremen 15. · Mainz 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	26	21	3	2	+51	66
2	Dortmund	26	19	4	3	+36	61
3	Hertha	26	13	6	7	+9	45
4	Schalke 04	27	13	5	9	+4	44
5	M'gladbach	27	13	3	11	+10	42
6	Mainz	26	12	4	10	+2	40
7	Leverkusen	26	11	6	9	+4	39
8	Wolfsburg	26	10	7	9	+5	37
9	FC Koln	26	8	9	9	-5	33
10	FC Ingolstadt 04	26	8	9	9	-7	33
11	Stuttgart	26	9	5	12	-9	32
12	Hamburg	26	8	7	11	-5	31
13	Augsburg	26	6	9	11	-8	27
14	Darmstadt	26	6	9	11	-13	27
15	Werder Bremen	26	7	6	13	-18	27
16	Ein Frankfurt	26	5	9	12	-15	24
17	Hoffenheim	26	5	9	12	-15	24
18	Hannover	26	5	2	19	-26	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	12	0	1	+37	36
2	Dortmund	13	11	2	0	+27	35
3	M'gladbach	14	10	1	3	+16	31
4	Hertha	13	8	4	1	+11	28
5	Wolfsburg	13	8	3	2	+15	27
6	Schalke 04	14	8	3	3	+5	27
7	Mainz	13	7	2	4	+4	23
8	Leverkusen	13	6	3	4	+6	21
9	FC Ingolstadt 04	13	5	4	4	+1	19
10	Stuttgart	13	6	1	6	-1	19
11	Hoffenheim	13	4	5	4	-2	17
12	Hamburg	13	4	4	5	+0	16
13	FC Koln	13	4	4	5	-2	16
14	Ein Frankfurt	13	3	6	4	-3	15
15	Augsburg	13	2	5	6	-6	11
16	Werder Bremen	12	2	4	6	-8	10
17	Darmstadt	13	1	5	7	-13	8
18	Hannover	13	2	0	11	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	9	3	1	+14	30
2	Dortmund	13	8	2	3	+9	26
3	Darmstadt	13	5	4	4	+0	19
4	Leverkusen	13	5	3	5	-2	18
5	Schalke 04	13	5	2	6	-1	17
6	Mainz	13	5	2	6	-2	17
7	Hertha	13	5	2	6	-2	17
8	FC Koln	13	4	5	4	-3	17
9	Werder Bremen	14	5	2	7	-10	17
10	Augsburg	13	4	4	5	-2	16
11	Hamburg	13	4	3	6	-5	15
12	FC Ingolstadt 04	13	3	5	5	-8	14
13	Stuttgart	13	3	4	6	-8	13
14	M'gladbach	13	3	2	8	-6	11
15	Hannover	13	3	2	8	-13	11
16	Wolfsburg	13	2	4	7	-10	10
17	Ein Frankfurt	13	2	3	8	-12	9
18	Hoffenheim	13	1	4	8	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.