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Bundesliga
Referee: Gunter Perl
Ein Frankfurt
S S U U T
3–0
Full-time
Mainz
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Mainz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,7
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 44%
47%
40%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
40%
80%
Both score Ø 57%
40%
73%
Average goals
2,1
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
9 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 5
14 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 6. · Mainz 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 15 11 3 1 +26 36
2 RB Leipzig 15 11 3 1 +19 36
3 Hoffenheim 15 6 9 0 +11 27
4 Hertha 15 8 3 4 +6 27
5 Dortmund 15 7 5 3 +16 26
6 Ein Frankfurt 15 7 5 3 +7 26
7 FC Koln 15 6 6 3 +6 24
8 Mainz 15 6 2 7 -1 20
9 Leverkusen 15 6 2 7 -1 20
10 Freiburg 15 6 2 7 -7 20
11 Schalke 04 15 5 3 7 +2 18
12 Augsburg 15 4 5 6 -4 17
13 M'gladbach 15 4 4 7 -9 16
14 Werder Bremen 15 4 3 8 -14 15
15 Wolfsburg 15 3 4 8 -10 13
16 FC Ingolstadt 04 15 3 3 9 -12 12
17 Hamburg 15 2 4 9 -18 10
18 Darmstadt 15 2 2 11 -17 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Mainz
1–0 B. Hrgota
D. Abraham
18′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 L. Öztunali
↦ K. Onisiwo
Branimir Hrgota 🟨
48′
Ante Rebić 🟨
53′
55′
🟥 Jhon Córdoba
Omar Mascarell 🟨
64′
S. Tarashaj 🔁
↦ A. Rebić
67′
A. Barkok 🔁
↦ M. Gaćinović
70′
2–0 A. Barkok
B. Hrgota
75′
81′
🔁 Jairo Samperio
↦ Y. Mallı
81′
🔁 A. Seydel
↦ P. De Blasis
3–0 B. Hrgota
A. Barkok
85′
S. Huszti 🔁
↦ B. Hrgota
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

4-2-3-1
1 L. Hradecky G
19 D. Abraham D
6 B. Oczipka M
22 T. Chandler M
5 Jesús Vallejo D
20 M. Hasebe D
10 M. Fabián M
39 Omar Mascarell M
11 M. Gaćinović M
31 B. Hrgota F
17 A. Rebić F
Bench (7)
30 S. Tarashaj
28 A. Barkok
8 S. Huszti
9 H. Seferović
13 H. Lindner
15 M. Hector
36 F. Zorba

Coach: N. Kovač

Mainz

4-2-3-1
1 J. Lössl G
18 D. Brosinski D
2 G. Donati D
16 S. Bell D
42 A. Hack D
6 D. Latza M
10 Y. Mallı M
25 J. Gbamin M
32 P. De Blasis M
21 K. Onisiwo F
15 J. Córdoba F
Bench (7)
8 L. Öztunali
17 Jairo Samperio
36 A. Seydel
20 F. Frei
22 André Ramalho
24 G. Bussmann
33 J. Huth

Coach: M. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Gunter Perl · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.